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Newcastle United vs Aston Villa prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on October 17, 2026

The visitors will avoid defeat
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Newcastle vs Aston Villa match prediction on 17.10.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
2.26 Linebet 12 Oct 20:04 2.17 + 0.09 3.86 Linebet 12 Oct 20:04 3.92 -0.06 3.19 Linebet 12 Oct 20:04 3.35 -0.17
44% 26% 31%
36 TIPS
Venue St James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
Date & kick-off time

On October 17, 2026, Newcastle United and Aston Villa will face each other in the seventh round of the English Premier League. The visitors will try to fight for points on the home turf of their old rivals.

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: team news and expert analysis

The club from Newcastle upon Tyne played in the Champions League playoffs in the spring, but slipped to 12th place in the Premier League. Then, over the summer, a number of key players were sold and Howe stepped down as head coach. His replacement, Jaisser, made a strong start with a series of wins in both the league and the League Cup. It was only in September that they suffered their first defeat — a heavy 1-4 loss to Leeds. They suddenly conceded the same scoreline against Coventry!

The Birmingham side won the Europa League in the spring while also climbing to fourth place in the Premier League. However, after the summer break and with a revamped squad, Emery traditionally made a difficult start, losing to PSG in the UEFA Super Cup and picking up just one point in their first five Premier League rounds. They managed to beat only crisis-hit Tottenham, not counting their success in the League Cup and against Brugge in the Champions League. At home to Brentford in October, they ended up drawing 2-2. Then, hosting Fenerbahce in European competition, they secured a convincing victory.

Barnes and company had been showing near parity, but things have now deteriorated to 1.67 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per match. The European champions have scored just one goal away from home while conceding as many as 1.83 per game.

Previous matches: Newcastle United vs Aston Villa

In the last five head-to-head meetings, both sides have recorded two wins.

The visitors are gradually building momentum, while the hosts are heading in the opposite direction. We believe Emery's side can avoid defeat (odds – 1.62).

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: key statistics and trends

  • Newcastle United have won four of their last seven matches
  • 83% of Newcastle's matches feature goals from both teams, with an average total of 3.83 goals per game
  • Aston Villa have won five of their last seven matches
  • 50% of Aston Villa's matches feature goals from both teams, with an average total of 2.83 goals per game

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: possible starting lineups

Newcastle United play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): Gornichek – Hall, Botman, Thiaw, Miley – Willock, Schar – Barnes, Wissa, Murphy – Fernandez Pardo

Aston Villa play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): Suzuki – Ruggeri, Mings, Lindelof, Wan-Bissaka – Gomez, Kamara – Buendia, Manzambi, McGinn – Jackson

Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's performance in the English Premier League table

Our Pick
Game Prediction Aston Villa won't lose
1.62
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 56
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.73
Void Voided bets (postponements, cancellations, etc.) in the last 30 days 67
Won/total Performance for the last 30 days 169 / 300
Active tips 19
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Aston Villa won't lose
1.62