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Napoli vs Bologna prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

Last season's champion will win
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 10 May 2026, 18:00
SSC Napoli vs Bologna match prediction on May 11, 2026
Tournament Serie A Italy
Date & kick-off time 11 may 2026, 14:45

In the 36th round of the Italian Serie A, on May 11, 2026, Napoli will face Bologna. The hosts are expected to secure only a victory.

Napoli vs Bologna: Team News and Expert Analysis

The club from Naples, after a disappointing 2023/2024 season, invited Conte—and a year ago won the title race over Inter. Now, on one hand, Antonio has added the Super Cup, but on the other, the Italians failed to reach the Champions League playoffs and have dropped positions in Serie A, trying at least to retain second place. Especially after failing to score against Como, ending with a goalless draw.

The team from "Renato Dall'Ara" stadium did not perform well in the last Champions League and dropped to ninth place in Serie A, but finished that season with a cup victory. This year, they did better in the Europa League, but in the quarterfinals, the Italians faced the favorite, Aston Villa, and lost with no real chance. Domestically, their performance remained similar to last year: they stayed in the upper half of the table, but with no claims to European spots. Recently, they've faltered, including a loss to Roma and failing to score against Cagliari.

The reigning champions are still strong: with an average of 1.49 goals scored per match, they concede just 0.94 to opponents. Orsolini and company average 1.2 goals scored, but concede slightly less, 1.17, per game.

Head-to-Head: Napoli vs Bologna

In their last five meetings, both clubs have two wins each.

The hosts are noticeably stronger and are unlikely to slip up again. We back them with a "-1 goal" handicap (odds – 1.87).

Napoli vs Bologna: Key Stats and Trends

  • Napoli have won six of their last nine matches
  • 49% of Napoli's matches end with goals from both teams and the average total goals per match is 2.43
  • Bologna have lost five of their last eight matches
  • 43% of Bologna's matches end with goals from both teams and the average total goals per match is 2.37

Napoli vs Bologna: Probable Starting Lineups

Napoli play in a 1-3-4-2-1 formation (probable lineup): Milinković-Savić – Buongiorno, Rrahmani, Olivera – Gutierrez, McTominay, Lobotka, Politano – Alisson Santos, De Bruyne – Højlund. David Neres and Vergara are injured.

Bologna play in a 1-4-3-3 formation (probable lineup): Ravaglia – Miranda, Lucumí, Hellann, Džortea – Pobega, Freuler, Zom – Cambiaghi, Castro, Orsolini. Vitik is definitely out and Cambiaghi may also miss the match.

Follow the Serie A Italy standings and check your team's form before placing a bet on the next match.

Our Pick
Game Prediction W1(-1)
1.87
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W1(-1)
1.87