Milan vs Lecce prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis
On September 20, 2026, Milan will face Lecce in the 5th round of Italy's Serie A. The hosts are expected to do nothing less than win
Milan vs Lecce: team news and expert analysis
The San Siro giants, having brought Allegri back as head coach last summer, were Inter's main challengers for a long time. However, they not only failed to catch their city rivals but also collapsed at the finish, ending up fifth and missing out on the Champions League. Their new manager, Ruben Amorim, began the summer with a couple of victories, while Juventus fought back to earn a draw at home in the 90th minute. They later also shared the points with Lazio, finishing 2-2. This week, they even lost at home to Benfica in the Europa League!
The club from Via del Mare managed just 38 points in 2025/2026, but that was enough to finish in the "borderline" 17th position. After the summer break, they were immediately knocked out of the cup, losing to Palermo. In Serie A, after opening with a victory over Venezia, they lost to Roma and Cagliari. At least they came out on top in a shootout against Monza, finally winning 3-2.
Amorim's side are currently averaging 1.75 goals scored and one conceded per match. Their modest visitors have scored 1.25 goals and conceded 1.75 on average.
Previous meetings: Milan vs Lecce
Milan have not lost for exactly 20 years, since spring 2006, and have won all of their last six head-to-head encounters.
It is hard to believe the hosts will slip up again. We expect them to win by more than a narrow margin and are backing them with a "-1.5 goals" handicap (odds – 1.78).
Milan vs Lecce: key statistics and trends
- Milan have failed to win in three consecutive matches
- 75% of Milan's matches end with both teams scoring, while the average total goals per game is 2.75
- Lecce have lost three of their five matches
- 25% of Lecce's matches end with both teams scoring, while the average total goals per game is 3.0
Milan vs Lecce: possible starting lineups
Milan play in a 1-3-4-2-1 formation (possible lineup): Maignan - Pavlovic, de Winter, Gila -, Estupinan, Musah, Modric, Diego Moreira - Saelemaekers, Rabiot - Goncalo Ramos
Lecce play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): Falcone - Gallo, Tiago Gabriel, Gaspar, Danilo Veiga - N'Goma, Ilic - Joel Almada Monteiro, Coulibaly, Pierotti - Stulic
Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's performance in the Italy Serie A standings
