Marseille vs Toulouse prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups & betting tips on March 4, 2026
Ligue 1 France
In the quarterfinals of the French Cup on March 4, 2026, Marseille and Toulouse will face off. The hosts hope to delight their fans.
Marseille vs Toulouse: Team News and Expert Analysis
Olympique brought in De Zerbi in the summer of 2024, and under his leadership, the club became vice-champions of France. However, last month Roberto was dismissed. The decision was quite logical, as his squad clearly "lost their way": they failed to reach the Champions League playoffs after a 0-3 loss in Brugge in the final round, and domestic setbacks also increased. Already without him, they lost to Brest. Against Lyon, however, they won a shootout 3-2.
The club from "Stadium de Toulouse" finished in the top 10 last season with 42 points. Now they are performing at roughly the same level, winning and losing almost equally and staying in the middle of the table. But since February, they've only managed draws at best, and in the last round, they lost to Rennes.
Where the current hosts have excelled is in the cup. They thrashed Bourg-en-Bresse 6-0, Bayeux 9-0, and in the round of 16, scored three unanswered goals against Rennes. Their opponent also made it through the same number of rounds, but with more difficulty: after a 2-1 away win over Sporting Lyon, they had to go to penalties against Angers after a 1-1 draw. Against Amiens, the only goal from Gboho decided everything.
Marseille vs Toulouse: Key Statistics and Trends
- Marseille has won two out of their last seven matches
- On average, Marseille scores 2.13 goals and concedes 1.38 goals per match
- 50% of Marseille's matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 3.5
- Toulouse has lost three of their last four matches
- On average, Toulouse scores 1.38 goals and concedes 1.17 goals per match
- 42% of Toulouse's matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 2.54
Marseille vs Toulouse: Probable Starting Lineups
Marseille (probable lineup): Rulli - Emerson, Aguerd, Pavard, Weah - Timber, Højbjerg, Aubameyang, Nadir, Greenwood - Gouiri
Toulouse (probable lineup): Haug - Nicolaisen, Kumbassa, McKenzie - Denham, Caceres, Sauer, Kamansi - Gboho, Correia da Silva, Vignolo
Previous Matches: Marseille vs Toulouse
The last time Toulouse won was in 2012. However, three of the last five encounters ended in draws.
Our Prediction for Marseille vs Toulouse
Where else to win if not at home against such an opponent? We believe in the success of the hosts (odds – 1.60).
Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's progress in the French Cup standings
