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Lazio vs Atalanta prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis, and betting tips

The visitors will return to winning ways
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 02 Mar 2026, 13:58
Lazio vs Atalanta match prediction on Mar 04, 2026
Tournament Serie A Italy
Date & kick-off time 04 mar 2026, 15:00

In the Coppa Italia semifinal on March 4, 2026, Lazio and Atalanta will play their first match. Both sides are eager to lay the foundation for overall success.

Lazio vs Atalanta: Team News and Expert Analysis

The Rome club lost the race for sixth place to Fiorentina last season, having the same 65 points but worse tiebreakers. Now, with Sarri restored as head coach, even repeating that result is becoming increasingly unlikely, though it's certainly too early to give up. Especially after the recent defeat to Torino in the last round…

The team from Bergamo parted ways with their longtime coach, Gasperini, this summer. He left the squad in excellent shape: Champions League playoff participants and third in Serie A. Despite the failed bet on Juric, under his replacement Palladino, the Italians again managed to advance from the main round in Europe's top tournament. In February, after losing 0-2 to Borussia Dortmund away, they staged a comeback last week with a 4-1 win — so they progressed further. However, in domestic competition, the gap to the top four was quite significant. Especially after a string of wins, including one over Napoli, they then lost to Sassuolo.

Lazio surprised right away in the cup, narrowly beating Milan 1-0. It was tougher against Bologna, but after a 1-1 draw, they advanced through a penalty shootout. The visitors have only thrashed their opponents so far: first, a 4-0 win over Genoa, then 3-0 against Juventus. However, both matches were played at home.

Lazio vs Atalanta: Key Stats and Trends

  • Lazio have won just twice in their last thirteen matches
  • On average, Lazio score 0.96 goals and concede 1 goal per match
  • 22% of Lazio's matches end with both teams scoring, with an average total goals per match of 1.96
  • Atalanta have won five of their last eight matches
  • On average, Atalanta score 1.37 goals and concede 0.89 goals per match
  • 52% of Atalanta's matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 2.26

Lazio vs Atalanta: Probable Starting Lineups

Lazio (probable lineup): Provedel - Nuno Tavares, Provstgor, Hila, Marusic - Taylor, Cataldi, Dele-Bashiru - Noslin, Maldini, Isaksen

Atalanta (probable lineup): Carnesecchi - Ahanor, Djimsiti, Scalvini - Bernasconi, Zalewski, Samardzic, Ederson, de Roon, Zappacosta - Krstovic

Previous Meetings: Lazio vs Atalanta

The capital side went three matches unbeaten in head-to-head encounters, but in February they lost 0-2 at home.

Our Prediction for Lazio vs Atalanta

The visitors are justifiably considered favorites here. However, a safety net with a 0 handicap (odds – 1.60) is advisable.

Follow the Coppa Italia standings and check your team's form before placing your next bet

Our Pick
Game Prediction W2(0)
1.6
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W2(0)
1.6