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Independiente Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

The visitors will not lose
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 21 Mar 2026, 06:18
Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin match prediction on Mar 23, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
2.56 3.06 2.84
37% 31% 33%
33 TIPS
Tournament Primera A Colombia
Date & kick-off time 23 mar 2026, 17:10

In the 13th round of the Colombia Primera A Apertura, a match between Independiente Santa Fe and Independiente Medellin will take place on March 23, 2026. Both clubs have not played their best this year but will now try to achieve success.

Independiente Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin: Team News and Expert Analysis

The team from Bogotá did not shine in the regular championships but won the Apertura playoffs. They also added the Super Cup in the winter. However, in the new season, there have again been as many defeats as victories, especially in recent rounds. At least there were draws with Alianza and Deportivo Cali—both 1-1.

The club from Medellin collected 92 points in 2025—only Deportes Tolima had more at that time. However, they failed to win any titles. This season started weakly, but gradually they managed to pick up momentum—still, the number of victories was not high enough. But in the last rounds, they defeated both Jaguares and Atlético Junior.

The winner of the last Apertura now scores 1.09 goals per match and concedes 1.27. Their guests average 1.36 goals both for and against per match.

Previous Matches: Independiente Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin

Last year, in six encounters, both clubs won two games each.

The hosts are given the advantage, though not an overwhelming one. This makes it more profitable to bet that the strong visitors will not lose (odds – 1.67).

Independiente Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin: Key Statistics and Trends

  • Independiente Santa Fe have lost three of their last four matches
  • 82% of Independiente Santa Fe's matches end with goals from both teams, with an average total of 2.36 goals per match
  • Independiente Medellin have won both of their most recent matches
  • 73% of Independiente Medellin's matches end with goals from both teams, with an average total of 2.73 goals per match

Independiente Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin: Probable Starting Lineups

Independiente Santa Fe play with a 1-4-5-1 formation (probable lineup): Mosquera - Mafla, Moreno, Olivera, Palacios - Daniel Torres, Guasa, Velasquez, Mosquera, Fernandez - Rodallega

Independiente Medellin play with a 1-3-5-2 formation (probable lineup): Ichazo - Mosquera, Camargo, Ortiz - Fabra, Diaz, Serna, Moreno, Mena - Martinez, Fidriszewski

Follow the standings of the Colombia Primera A Apertura and stay updated on your team's form before placing a bet on the next match.

Our Pick
Game Prediction Independiente Medellin won't lose
1.67
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 48
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.71
Void Voided bets (postponements, cancellations, etc.) in the last 30 days 56
Won/total Performance for the last 30 days 156 / 324
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Independiente Medellin won't lose
1.67