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Germany vs Greece prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on September 27, 2026

The hosts can win convincingly
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Greece vs Germany match prediction on 27.09.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
4.05 4.05 1.82
24% 24% 53%
Date & kick-off time

On matchday two of UEFA Nations League Division A, Germany and Greece will meet on September 27, 2026. The favorite here is more than obvious.

Germany - Greece team news and expert analysis

Following Julian Nagelsmann's appointment, Germany performed well at their "home" European Championship, exiting only after conceding an extra-time goal to eventual champions Spain. They also qualified directly for the World Cup, despite starting qualifying with a defeat to Slovakia. However, after opening the summer with a pair of wins, they disappointed. The heavyweight lost to Ecuador in the group stage and then failed to overcome Paraguay in the very first playoff round, losing on penalties. Klopp was brought in to restore the team's reputation. In his debut against the Dutch, Germany came close to winning but conceded an equalizer in the 90+ minute.

Greece competed on equal terms with England in the Nations League and eliminated Scotland in the playoff. However, they collected just seven points from six qualifying matches. Their 2026 friendlies produced draws at best. Opening their tournament campaign in Serbia, they conceded an early goal but eventually won thanks to two goals late in the game.

One of European football's historic giants scored 3.1 goals per game and conceded 1.1. Pavlidis and company scored 0.9 goals while allowing 1.6 per match.

Previous matches: Germany - Greece

The teams have met ten times in total. Greece have drawn three of those encounters and lost the rest.

It is time for Germany to win. We are backing their long-awaited success with a "-1 goal" handicap (odds – 1.60).

Germany - Greece: key statistics and trends

  • Germany have not won any of their last three matches
  • Both teams have scored in 80% of Germany's matches, with the average total reaching 4.1 goals per game.
  • Greece have won their second match in their last ten
  • Both teams have scored in 50% of Greece's matches, with the average total reaching 2.5 goals per game

Germany - Greece: possible starting lineups

Germany play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): ter Stegen - Troy, Schlotterbeck, Tah, Brown - Kimmich, Nmecha - Musiala, Adeyemi, Schade - Havertz

Greece play in a 1-4-4-2 formation (possible lineup): Tzolakis - Vagiannidis, Mavropanos, Retsos, Tsimikas - Karetsas, Kourbelis, Zafeiris, Tzolis - Kostoulas, Pavlidis

Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's performance in the UEFA Nations League standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction W1(-1)
1.6
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 55
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.72
Void Voided bets (postponements, cancellations, etc.) in the last 30 days 71
Won/total Performance for the last 30 days 164 / 297
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W1(-1)
1.6