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France vs Sweden prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, July 1, 2026

The French are expected to win confidently
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 29 Jun 2026, 17:00
France vs Sweden match prediction on Jun 30, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.31 6.36 Linebet 29 Jun 18:00 6.56 -0.2 29 Jun 05:00 6.46 + 0.06 29 Jun 03:00 6.62 -0.16 28 Jun 22:00 6.31 + 0.31 28 Jun 20:00 6.46 -0.15 28 Jun 12:00 6.24 + 0.22 28 Jun 04:00 6.09 + 0.15 27 Jun 21:01 6.04 + 0.05 10.6 Linebet 29 Jun 18:00 11.1 -0.5 29 Jun 17:00 11.2 -0.1 29 Jun 05:00 11.4 -0.2 29 Jun 03:00 11.7 -0.3 28 Jun 22:00 11.1 + 0.6 28 Jun 20:00 11.4 -0.3 28 Jun 12:00 10.9 + 0.5 28 Jun 04:00 11.4 -0.5
75% 15% 9%
34 TIPS
Tournament World Cup
Venue New York/New Jersey Stadium (East Rutherford)
Date & kick-off time 30 jun 2026, 17:00

In the Round of 16 of the World Cup on July 1, 2026, the national teams of France and Sweden will face off. Last tournament's finalist hopes to progress further this time.

France vs Sweden: Team News and Expert Analysis

The French have appeared in the finals of the last two World Cups and qualified for this tournament smoothly, recording just one draw in six qualification matches. Moreover, they've been flawless here as well: first beating Senegal 3-1, then routing Iraq (3-0) and Norway (4-1).

Sweden struggled in the standard qualifying campaign. However, after entering the March playoffs via the "Nations League path," they managed to defeat both Ukraine and Poland. This finally brought them back to the World Cup, where they started with a 5-1 win over Tunisia. Afterwards, however, they suffered a heavy, "mirror" defeat against the Netherlands. Against Japan, a draw was enough for both sides to reach the playoffs—and that's how it ended, 1-1.

Mbappé and company currently average 2.8 goals scored and concede one per match. Their Scandinavian opponent has a negative ratio: 1.8 goals scored and as many as 2.1 conceded per game.

Previous Matches: France vs Sweden

France, under Deschamps, have won four times—including the last two meetings—while losing just once.

Perhaps the hosts won't secure as big a win as their Dutch neighbors, but they should prevail by more than one goal—take France with a -1.5 goal handicap (odds – 1.86).

France vs Sweden: Key Stats and Trends

  • France have won four matches in a row
  • 80% of France's matches see both teams score, with an average of 3.8 goals per match
  • Sweden have won just one of their last five matches
  • 90% of Sweden's matches see both teams score, with an average of 3.9 goals per match

France vs Sweden: Probable Starting Lineups

France are expected to play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation: Maignan – Digne, Saliba, Upamecano, Koundé – Rabiot, Koné – Barcola, Olise, Dembélé – Mbappé.

Sweden are likely to line up in a 1-3-4-3 formation: Wiedell-Setterström – Gudmundsson, Hien, Lagerbielke – Stroud, Ayari, Lindelöf, Bernhardsson – Isak, Gyökeres, Elanga.

Place your bets on the upcoming match and follow your team's progress in the World Cup standings.

Our Pick
Game Prediction W1(-1,5)
1.86
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W1(-1,5)
1.86