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HJK vs Ilves prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

The hosts are likely to win
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 29 Jun 2026, 12:28
HJK vs Ilves match prediction on Jul 01, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.69 4.25 4.2
56% 22% 22%
10 TIPS
Tournament Finnish Cup
Date & kick-off time 01 jul 2026, 12:00

In the Finnish Cup semifinal on July 1, 2026, HJK will face Ilves. For both, it's a chance to salvage what has been a largely uneventful season.

HJK vs Ilves: Team News and Expert Analysis

The historic heavyweight from Helsinki has recently faded into the background. At the end of last season, they dropped from third after the regular part to finish fifth overall. This year, they spent a long time in mid-table, but a couple of wins since late May have helped them climb up the standings. However, after drawing with leaders Inter Turku and confidently beating Mariehamn, they suffered a heavy defeat to KuPS.

The Tampere club narrowly lost out to Inter Turku for second place last season—61 points to 60. Now, they have slipped to the lower half of the table. However, they've started winning more frequently since late spring. But after a 5-0 win over Jaro, they only managed a draw with KuPS and another draw at home against SJK.

In the cup, the capital side have cruised past three opponents, thrashing all of them. This included a 7-1 quarterfinal victory over Honka. Their opponents have also won three times, and only conceded against their last rival, Lahti—but still won confidently, 5-2.

Previous Matches: HJK vs Ilves

Ilves has won four of the last seven meetings with only one loss, but their most recent clash in May ended 2-2.

The home field should be a decisive factor here. Our bet is on a "home" victory (odds – 1.68).

HJK vs Ilves: Key Stats and Trends

  • HJK has won six of their last ten matches
  • On average, HJK scores 1.79 goals and concedes 1.21 goals per match
  • 43% of HJK's matches see both teams scoring, with an average total of 3.0 goals per match
  • Ilves has won five of their last eight games
  • On average, Ilves scores 1.71 goals and concedes 1.93 goals per match
  • 64% of Ilves' matches see both teams scoring, with an average total of 3.64 goals per match

HJK vs Ilves: Probable Starting Lineups

Universidad Católica Quito plays in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Marković - Lyons-Foster, Tikkanen, Bogičević, Ulitova - Lingman, Kallinen - Cicale, Meller, Mero - Pukki

Mushuc Runa plays in a 1-3-4-3 formation (probable lineup): Virtanen - Rale, Miettunen, Kumpu - Vallius, Raap, Tiitinen, Pettersson - Kilo, Hytönen, Stepin

Follow the Finnish Cup standings and check your team's form before placing a bet on the next match.

Our Pick
Game Prediction HJK to Win
1.68
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 47
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.71
Void Voided bets (postponements, cancellations, etc.) in the last 30 days 68
Won/total Performance for the last 30 days 136 / 291
Active tips 20
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Game Prediction Our Pick
HJK to Win
1.68