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Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

The match will not bring many goals
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 18 Mar 2026, 15:14
Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia AC match prediction on Mar 20, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
2.68 3.1 2.99
36% 31% 32%
18 TIPS
Date & kick-off time 20 mar 2026, 16:15

In the 27th round of the Portuguese Primeira on March 20, 2026, Estrela Amadora and Casa Pia will face off. For both teams, this is a chance to increase their gap from the relegation zone.

Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia: Team News and Expert Analysis

The team from "Estádio José Gomes" managed to finish the 2024/2025 season in fifteenth place with only 29 points, thus avoiding the relegation playoffs. This season, their results are a bit better, but competition in the league has also increased. They also lost to Rio Ave in the last round.

The Lisbon club looked more solid. With 45 points, they finished ninth—right in the "middle" of the table last spring. However, this season the results are more modest—they are level with their next opponent. Still, in 2026 they have clearly improved. They took a point against Estoril as well, finishing 0-0.

Van Hooijdonk and company score just 1.12 goals per game, but concede noticeably more—1.73 per match. Álvaro Pacheco’s players are not better: with 1.04 goals scored, they concede 1.76.

Previous Matches: Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia

There have been a total of seven head-to-head meetings, and in November Estrela took the lead, earning their fourth win versus three defeats.

The hosts are only nominally considered favorites here. We expect this pair not to deliver a spectacular match—bet on "total under 2.5 goals" (odds – 1.60).

Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia: Key Stats and Trends

  • Estrela Amadora have lost five of their last nine matches
  • 50% of Estrela's matches end with goals from both teams, and the average total goals per match is 2.85
  • Casa Pia have lost just one of their last seven matches
  • 48% of Casa Pia's matches end with goals from both teams, and the average total goals per match is 2.8

Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia: Projected Starting Lineups

Estrela Amadora plays in a 1-4-5-1 formation (probable lineup): Ribeiro - Galdino, Chappo, Lekovic, Enkada - Heg Jansson, Moreira, Stoica, Jovane Cabral, Marcus - van Hooijdonk

Casa Pia plays in a 1-3-6-1 formation (probable lineup): Sequeira - Bandeira, João Goulart, Souza - Conte, Osundina, Livolan, Brito, Perez, Larrassabal - Cassiano

Follow the Portuguese Primeira league table and learn about your team's form before placing your next bet

Our Pick
Game Prediction Total under 2,5
1.6
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 49
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.71
Void Voided bets (postponements, cancellations, etc.) in the last 30 days 46
Won/total Performance for the last 30 days 154 / 312
Active tips 15
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Total under 2,5
1.6