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Chelsea vs Arsenal prediction, match preview, betting tips and odds on January 14, 2026

The derby promises to be entertaining
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 12 Jan 2026, 13:40
Arsenal vs Chelsea match prediction on Jan 14, 2026
Date & kick-off time 14 jan 2026, 15:00

In the semi-final of the English League Cup, the first leg between Chelsea and Arsenal will take place on January 14, 2026. It's not certain that either side in this pairing is truly motivated to win at all costs.

Our Prediction for Chelsea vs Arsenal

The club from Stamford Bridge placed their bet on Maresca in the summer before last. On his first attempt, he guided the team to fourth place in the Premier League and claimed both the Conference League and the FIFA Club World Cup. The new season was going fairly well, though not without setbacks, but a fallout with the management led to his resignation right at New Year's! Already without the Italian, they lost to Fulham 1-2. However, they did thrash Charlton 5-1 in the cup.

Arteta enjoys much more trust. Indeed, he has turned his side into a club that has finished second three years in a row. Now, he hopes to finally win the Premier League title. They reached the break as sole leaders. Although the last round ended 0-0 against Liverpool. In the Champions League, they've secured six wins. On the eve of this match, they confidently beat Portsmouth 4-1 in the cup.

In the League Cup, the current hosts benefited from favorable draws. They overcame modest Lincoln City, then Swansea City in the quarter-finals, and also managed to beat Wolverhampton 4-3 away. The visitors advanced with an experimental line-up past Port Vale, Brighton, and, in the previous round via penalties, Crystal Palace.

Chelsea vs Arsenal: Key Stats and Trends

  • Chelsea have won just one of their last six matches
  • On average, Chelsea score 1.62 goals and concede 1.14 goals per match
  • 62% of Chelsea's matches end with both teams scoring and the average total goals per match is 2.76
  • Arsenal have won seven of their last nine matches
  • On average, Arsenal score 1.9 goals and concede 0.67 goals per match
  • 48% of Arsenal's matches end with both teams scoring and the average total goals per match is 2.57

Chelsea vs Arsenal: Possible Starting Lineups

Chelsea (probable lineup): Sanchez - Cucurella, Adarabioyo, Chalobah, Gusto - Caicedo, Santos, Neto, Fernandez, Palmer - Delap

Arsenal (probable lineup): Arrizabalaga - Lewis-Skelly, Calafiori, Saliba, Timber - Eze, Nørgaard, Merino - Martinelli, Gabriel Jesus, Madueke

Previous Matches: Chelsea vs Arsenal

In the last eight derbies, Arsenal have won five and three have ended in draws, including a 1-1 tie in November.

Free Prediction for Chelsea vs Arsenal

The visitors are considered favorites, but their motivation is questionable. Our pick is "total over 2.5 goals" (odds – 1.90).

Place your bets on the upcoming match and track your team's position in the English League Cup standings.

Our Pick
Game Prediction Total over 2,5
1.9
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Total over 2,5
1.9