Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Prediction and Betting Tips - June 1, 2026
On June 1, in the fourth round of Roland Garros, Aryna Sabalenka and Naomi Osaka will face off. Here is my prediction for the upcoming event.
Aryna Sabalenka
The world number one had a brilliant hard-court season, winning tournaments in Brisbane, Indian Wells, and Miami, and reaching the final at the Australian Open.
Her results on clay have been more modest: she was eliminated in the quarterfinals in Madrid and stopped in the third round in Rome. At Roland Garros, Sabalenka has yet to drop a set, defeating Spain's Buzas Maneiro 6-4, 6-2, then beating France's Jacquemot 7-5, 6-2. In her most recent match, she prevailed over Australian Kasatkina 6-0, 7-5. Sabalenka's best result at this tournament was last year's final, where she lost in three sets to Coco Gauff.
Naomi Osaka
The Japanese player was once the world number one herself, but currently sits at number 16. Osaka excels on hard courts, having won four majors on that surface, but her clay-court results have been less impressive. Now, she is having her best showing at Roland Garros, advancing to the tournament's fourth round.
It cannot be said that she is having a strong season overall, as she has not achieved any significant success. Each match at this tournament has been a challenge: first, she overcame Germany's Siegemund 6-3, 7-6, then defeated Croatia's Vekic 7-6, 6-4. Her match against American Iva Jovic was especially tough and tense, but Osaka managed to win in three sets—7-6, 6-7, 6-4.
Head-to-Head
Sabalenka leads the head-to-head with a score of 2-1, and she also won two exhibition matches between them. Their last meeting took place just over a month ago in Madrid, where Osaka lost in three sets—6-7, 2-6, 3-6.
Prediction
This is a high-profile match, featuring two well-known players: the current world number one against a former top-ranked player. Bookmakers understandably give the advantage to Sabalenka, although Osaka is capable of putting up a strong fight. While the Japanese player may not be much behind in terms of skill, playing on clay will not be easy for her. My pick is for the favorite to win with a -1.5 set handicap at odds of 1.65.
