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Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction, match preview, betting tips and odds on February 3, 2026

The match will not be boring
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 01 Feb 2026, 09:35
Arsenal vs Chelsea match prediction on Feb 03, 2026
Date & kick-off time 03 feb 2026, 15:00

In the English League Cup semi-final on February 3, 2026, Arsenal and Chelsea will play the return leg. The hosts only need a draw to advance to the final round.

Our Prediction for Arsenal vs Chelsea

Arteta took charge of what is practically his home team during a prolonged slump. In recent years, they have only lost out to Manchester City or Liverpool. However, the team is now determined to finally claim a title, and so far they have been confidently moving towards it in the Premier League. Yes, there were a few setbacks in mid-winter, including a loss to Manchester United. But in the last round, they thrashed Leeds 4-0. Additionally, in the Champions League, the English side won every match. As a result, they set a new record: 8 wins!

The club from Stamford Bridge brought in Maresca in the summer of 2024. Chelsea secured both fourth place in the Premier League and wins in the Conference League and the Club World Cup. However, inconsistent football and conflicts with management led to the Italian's resignation at New Year. His replacement, Rosenior, lost in the League Cup, but then beat Brentford, Crystal Palace, and West Ham in the Premier League. Chelsea also finished the main phase of the Champions League with another win.

In the League Cup, the hosts fielded an experimental lineup. Still, they got past Port Vale, Brighton, and, on penalties, Crystal Palace. Meanwhile, under Maresca, Chelsea overcame Lincoln City, Wolverhampton, and Cardiff. But in the first semi-final, they lost 2-3.

Arsenal vs Chelsea: Key Statistics and Trends

  • Arsenal have not won two of their last five matches
  • On average, Arsenal score 1.92 goals and concede 0.71 goals per match
  • 46% of Arsenal's matches end with goals from both teams, with an average total of 2.63 goals per game
  • Chelsea have won their last four matches
  • On average, Chelsea score 1.75 goals and concede 1.13 goals per match
  • 63% of Chelsea's matches end with goals from both teams, with an average total of 2.88 goals per game

Arsenal vs Chelsea: Probable Starting Lineups

Arsenal (probable lineup): Arrizabalaga - Timber, Gabriel, Saliba, White - Rice, Zubimendi, Odegaard - Trossard, Gyokeres, Saka

Chelsea (probable lineup): Sanchez - Cucurella, Fofana, Chalobah, Achimpong - Fernandez, Santos, Neto, Joao Pedro, Estevao - Guiu

Previous Matches: Arsenal vs Chelsea

Chelsea have not won since 2021. In the last seven derbies, Arsenal wins and draws have alternated regularly.

Free Prediction for Arsenal vs Chelsea

The hosts are expected to win again. But both sides could treat fans to entertaining football, so "total over 2.5 goals" (odds – 1.72) looks likely.

Place your bets on the upcoming match and follow your team's progress in the English League Cup standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Total under 2,5
1.72
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 49
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.71
Void Voided bets (postponements, cancellations, etc.) in the last 30 days 46
Won/total Performance for the last 30 days 154 / 312
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Total under 2,5
1.72