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Arka vs Termalica prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

Home side likely to win
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 16 May 2026, 14:26
Arka Gdynia vs Termalica Nieciecza match prediction on May 18, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.64 4.1 4.61
57% 23% 20%
39 TIPS
Tournament Ekstraklasa Poland
Date & kick-off time 18 may 2026, 13:00

In the 33rd round of the Polish Ekstraklasa on May 18, 2026, Arka will face Termalica. This is a battle at the very bottom of the table between the league's main outsiders.

Arka vs Termalica: Team News and Expert Analysis

The club from Gdynia, after five years in the country's second division, finally won promotion in 2025. Back in the top flight, they've been constantly fighting for survival, though not particularly successfully. At least they managed draws with Lech and Górnik.

The team from the village of Nieciecza lost out to their current opponent by just one point last year. Still, they too made their way to the Ekstraklasa. But they've been true underdogs with no real chance of staying up—losing more than half their matches, especially in the final rounds. Occasionally, they manage to grab a win, like against Zagłębie in April. But in the last round, Legia scored the only goal in their head-to-head match.

The newly promoted side, playing at home, scores only about one goal per game, while conceding noticeably more—an average of 1.72. The only even bigger underdog has slightly more dynamic numbers: 1.16 goals scored and 1.91 conceded per match.

Recent Matches: Arka vs Termalica

Termalica has won three of the last four head-to-head matches, but their previous visit to Gdynia ended in defeat.

This time, the home side should finally be at least as strong as their opponent. This is the kind of home match they need to win—and they should manage it (odds – 1.73).

Arka vs Termalica: Key Stats and Trends

  • Arka have lost three of their last seven matches
  • 50% of Arka's matches see both teams score, with an average total of 2.72 goals per game
  • Termalica have lost seven of their last nine matches
  • 69% of Termalica's games see both teams score, with an average total of 3.06 goals per match

Arka vs Termalica: Probable Starting Lineups

Arka are expected to line up in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation: Grobelny - Gojny, Marcjanik, Shota, Navarro - Ngiamba, Perea - Rusin, Kerk, Kubiak - Gutkowski

Termalica are expected to use a 1-3-4-2-1 formation: Chovan - Kasperkiewicz, Masoero, Matisik - Bobok, Hilbrycht, Strzalek, Ambrozevich - Jimenez, Fassbender - Zapolnik

Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's progress in the Polish Ekstraklasa standings.

Our Pick
Game Prediction Arka Gdynia to Win
1.73
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 49
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.71
Void Voided bets (postponements, cancellations, etc.) in the last 30 days 46
Won/total Performance for the last 30 days 154 / 312
Active tips 15
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Arka Gdynia to Win
1.73