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Ajax vs Willem II prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on September 15, 2026

The hosts are expected to win confidently
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 13 Sep 2026, 14:49
Ajax vs Willem II match prediction on Sep 15, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.15 9.05 Linebet 13 Sep 20:01 8.75 + 0.3 13 Sep 12:00 8.45 + 0.3 12 Sep 21:07 8.6 -0.15 12 Sep 20:02 7.85 + 0.75 12 Sep 08:02 7.95 -0.1 10 Sep 20:01 7.85 + 0.1 09 Sep 20:01 7.95 -0.1 07 Sep 20:00 8.35 -0.4 05 Sep 21:07 8.2 + 0.15 03 Sep 21:08 8.05 + 0.15 02 Sep 21:04 8.15 -0.1 16 Linebet 13 Sep 20:01 15 + 1 13 Sep 12:00 14.8 + 0.2 12 Sep 21:07 14.6 + 0.2 12 Sep 20:02 13.9 + 0.7 12 Sep 08:02 13.6 + 0.3 08 Sep 20:00 14.4 -0.8 07 Sep 20:00 17.5 -3.1 06 Sep 21:02 17 + 0.5
83% 11% 6%
24 TIPS
Venue Johan Cruijff ArenA (Amsterdam)
Date & kick-off time 15 sep 2026, 14:00

In the 3rd round of the Dutch Eredivisie on September 15, 2026, Ajax will face Willem II. The hosts will be looking to win a match like this.

Ajax vs Willem II team news and expert analysis

The Amsterdam giants endured a disastrous season last year, only securing a place in the Conference League through the additional play-offs. In qualifying, they eliminated Vojvodina, Shelbourne and Sion. They have also mostly been winning on the domestic front, although they drew with Heerenveen and lost at home to PSV. They have since bounced back by thrashing Fortuna Sittard 5-1.

The Tilburg club were relegated to the second tier a year ago. They finished third there but then won the promotion play-offs. Back in the Eredivisie, they only managed to pick up their first point at the third attempt, drawing with Heerenveen. It was therefore all the more surprising that they managed to secure a 1-1 draw with AZ in the latest round.

Bergwijn and his teammates are currently averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. The newcomers have far worse figures: just one goal scored and 2.8 conceded per game.

Head to Head matches: Ajax vs Willem II

Across their last fourteen head-to-head meetings, there has been just one draw and one victory for the current visitors. Ajax have won all the other encounters.

Teams like this need to be beaten convincingly at home. We are backing the hosts to win with a -2-goal handicap (odds – 1.76).

Ajax vs Willem II: key statistics and trends

  • Ajax have won one of their last three Eredivisie matches
  • 60% of Ajax's matches have featured goals from both teams, with an average total of goals per game
  • Willem II have drawn two of their last three matches
  • 80% of Willem II's matches have featured goals from both teams, with an average total of 3.8 goals per game

Ajax vs Willem II: Possible starting lineups

Ajax play in a 1-4-4-1-1 formation (possible lineup): ter Stegen - Caio Henrique, Jans, Bauman, Goei - Brandt, Gloukh, Mokio, Klaassen - Berghuis - Arokodare

Willem II play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): de Leeuw - Chou-A-On, Högma, Stam, ter Avest - Twigt, Boogard - Slory, van Alst, Gurbuz - Khan

Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow your team's progress in the Dutch Eredivisie standings.

Our Pick
Game Prediction W1(-2)
1.76
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 55
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.74
Void Voided bets (postponements, cancellations, etc.) in the last 30 days 87
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W1(-2)
1.76