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Lazio vs Milan prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, September 12, 2026

The match won't bring many goals
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 11 Sep 2026, 18:31
Lazio vs AC Milan match prediction on Sep 12, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
3.5 Linebet 11 Sep 11:04 3.42 + 0.12 06 Sep 20:03 3.23 + 0.08 05 Sep 20:02 3.43 -0.21 03 Sep 21:08 3.33 + 0.09 02 Sep 21:04 3.48 -0.16 01 Sep 21:04 3.89 -0.41 3.33 2.33 Linebet 11 Sep 11:04 2.36 -0.05 05 Sep 20:02 2.34 + 0.13 03 Sep 21:08 2.43 -0.06 02 Sep 21:04 2.35 + 0.09 01 Sep 21:04 2.18 + 0.16
28% 30% 42%
38 TIPS
Tournament Serie A Italy
Venue Stadio Olimpico, Rome (Rome)
Date & kick-off time 12 sep 2026, 12:00

In the 4th round of Serie A on September 12, 2026, Lazio will face Milan. Gattuso against his former club.

Lazio vs Milan team news and expert analysis

The capital club had a disappointing league campaign last season, finishing only ninth, and failed to salvage it in the cup, losing in the final. Gattuso became their new manager over the summer. However, he made an unsuccessful debut, immediately losing at home to modest Mantova in the cup. In Serie A, though, they beat both Bologna and Genoa, as well as Udinese.

The giants from San Siro spent a long time in second place but eventually slipped to fifth in the spring. As expected, they changed managers after that. Ruben Amorim began his spell in Italy with victories over Torino away from home and Venezia at home. In the previous round against Juventus, they also took the lead but conceded an equaliser in the 90th minute.

The Romans are currently averaging 1.33 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.33. Their old rivals from northern Italy are scoring 1.67 goals per match and conceding 0.67.

Head to Head matches: Lazio vs Milan

The capital club have won three of their last four meetings, suffering just one defeat.

The visitors are more widely backed here. In any case, we expect a rather cagey game, with under 2.5 total goals (odds – 1.62).

Lazio vs Milan: key statistics and trends

  • Lazio have won three matches in a row
  • 33% of Lazio's matches have featured goals from both teams, with an average total of 1.67 goals per game
  • Milan have won two matches
  • 67% of Milan's matches have featured goals from both teams, with an average total of 2.33 goals per game

Lazio vs Milan: Possible starting lineups

Lazio play in a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): Mandas - Tavares, Provstgaard, Duki, Floriani - Taylor, Rovella, Frattesi - Zaccagni, Dia, Cancellieri

Milan play in a 1-3-4-2-1 formation (possible lineup): Maignan - Pavlovic, de Winter, Thiaw - Bartesaghi, Modric, Musah, Chukwueze - Cisse, Loftus-Cheek - Ramos

Place your bets on the upcoming match and follow your team's position in the Serie A standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Total under 2,5
1.62
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Total under 2,5
1.62