EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) Round 3

Chelsea vs Leeds

Chelsea

09 sep 2026, 15:00

2 : 1

Predicted score

Correct score 2:1 Win Rate

6%

The most likely outcome according to the mathematical prediction

Close

Leeds

Predictions Odds Stats Additional

Chelsea VS Leeds Math predictions

Full-time result

Home

57%

1.69

Draw

23%

4.15

Away

19%

4.96

W1

Win rate 53%

Result: W1 Win Rate

53%

The probability of 1.69 odds implies 57% chance of success, but it only happened in 53% of the last 15 games with similar odds.

Close

1.69

Both teams to score

Yes

56%

1.67

No

44%

2.1

BTTS: Yes

Win rate 47%

BTTS: YES Win Rate

47%

The probability of 1.67 odds implies 56% chance of success, but it only happened in 47% of the last 30 games with similar odds.

Close

1.67

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

16%

5.9

Under 2.5

84%

1.1

O/U: Under 2.5

Win rate 83%

Total Goals: Under Win Rate

83%

The probability of 1.1 odds implies 84% chance of success, but it only happened in 83% of the last 30 games with similar odds.

Close

1.1

Double Chance

1/X

81%

1.19

1/2

77%

1.26

X/2

42%

2.29

W1 or Draw

Win rate 67%

Double chance: 1/X Win Rate

67%

The probability of 1.19 odds implies 81% chance of success, but it only happened in 67% of the last 15 games with similar odds.

Close

1.19

Correct Score

Chance Odds

1:1

6%

7.5

2:1

6%

7.5

1:0

5%

8

2:0

5%

8.5

3:1

4%

12

Correct Score

Win rate 6%

Correct Score: 1:1 Win Rate

6%

The probability of 7.5 odds implies 6% chance of success, and these expectations were fulfilled in 6% of the recent 15 games with similar odds.

Close

7.5

Bet Builder Tips for Chelsea VS Leeds

Safe Bankers Best Value Bets Crazy Bets

Asian Handicap: 2 -1.5

Win rate 93%

Asian Handicap: 2 -1.5 Win Rate

93%

The probability of 1.41 odds implies 66% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 93% of the last 15 games with similar odds.

Close

Odds 1.41

Chance 66%

See Offers

BM		$10 Return $1 Return $2 Return $5 Return $10 Return $15 Return $20 Return	Odds	Payout
	1xbet	$14.1	1.41	92%	Visit
	Afropari	$14.1	1.41	92%	Visit
	1win	$14	1.4	91%	Visit

Asian Handicap: 2 -1.25

Win rate 91%

Asian Handicap: 2 -1.25 Win Rate

91%

The probability of 1.56 odds implies 61% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 91% of the last 15 games with similar odds.

Close

Odds 1.56

Chance 61%

See Offers

BM		$10 Return $1 Return $2 Return $5 Return $10 Return $15 Return $20 Return	Odds	Payout
	1xbet	$15.6	1.56	95%	Visit
	Afropari	$15.1	1.51	92%	Visit

O/U Home team: Under 3.25

Win rate 87%

O/U Home team: Under 3.25 Win Rate

87%

The probability of 1.11 odds implies 84% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 87% of the last 30 games with similar odds.

Close

Odds 1.11

Chance 84%

See Offers

BM		$10 Return $1 Return $2 Return $5 Return $10 Return $15 Return $20 Return	Odds	Payout
	Afropari	$11.1	1.11	92%	Visit

O/U Home team: Under 3.5

Win rate 87%

O/U Home team: Under 3.5 Win Rate

87%

The probability of 1.07 odds implies 86% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 87% of the last 30 games with similar odds.

Close

Odds 1.07

Chance 86%

See Offers

BM		$10 Return $1 Return $2 Return $5 Return $10 Return $15 Return $20 Return	Odds	Payout
	1xbet	$10.7	1.07	91%	Visit

Total Goals: Under 4.5

Win rate 83%

Total Goals: Under 4.5 Win Rate

83%

The probability of 1.17 odds implies 79% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 83% of the last 30 games with similar odds.

Close

Odds 1.17

Chance 79%

See Offers

BM		$10 Return $1 Return $2 Return $5 Return $10 Return $15 Return $20 Return	Odds	Payout
	Betway	$11.67	1.17	91%	Visit
	Afropari	$11.6	1.16	92%	Visit
	1win	$11.5	1.15	93%	Visit
	1xbet	$11.2	1.12	90%	Visit

Show all

Stats Trends & Facts

• All
• Match Result
• Goals
• Cards
• Corners

Show 100% Trends Only

Unbeaten

9 games 100%

Leeds are unbeaten in their last 9 matches.

Match Result - Leeds mostly likely will not lose

2.04

4.25 Goals per Game

12 games 83%

In 10 out of the last 12 played by Chelsea, more than 2.5 goals were scored on average.

Total Goals Over (2.5)

1.68

3 Goals per Game

7 games 100%

An average of 3 goals were scored in Leeds’s last 7 matches.

Total Goals Under (4.5)

1.15

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Chelsea vs Leeds Betting statistics

All leagues

No matches found

All leagues

EFL Cup (Carabao Cup)

Average Team Stats - all Leagues

Goals BTTS Corners Cards

All H2H

Chelsea

10 Played

10 Played

Leeds

100 %
Over 0.5 goals
100 %
90 %
Over 1.5 goals
80 %
80 %
Over 2.5 goals
30 %
50 %
Over 3.5 goals
30 %
40 %
Over 4.5 goals
20 %
70 %
Over 1.5 goals in 1st period
40 %
60 %
Goals scored in both halves
20 %
60 %
Goals conceded in both halves
10 %
70 %
Total %
50 %
80 %
Last 5
40 %
57 %
Home BTTS %
40 %
100 %
Away BTTS %
60 %
70 %
Over 2.5 goals
20 %
70 %
BTTS first period
20 %
40 %
BTTS and Win
10 %
20 %
BTTS and Lose
10 %
20 %
Won-To-Nil
50 %
10 %
Lost-To-Nil
0 %
0 %
Scoreless
0 %
30 %
Over 9.5
40 %
20 %
Over 10.5
20 %
10 %
Over 11.5
10 %
0 %
Over 12.5
10 %
0 %
Over 13.5
0 %
50 %
Over 2.5
50 %
50 %
Over 3.5
30 %
40 %
Over 4.5
20 %
20 %
Over 5.5
20 %
10 %
Over 6.5
10 %

Chelsea vs Leeds Compare odds

United States

Result Asian Handicap BTTS Corners Correct Score Double chance Goalscorers HT/FT Total Goals O/U Away Team O/U Home team Result / Total goals

Full time

BM	Bonuses	W1	X	W2	Payout
1xbet	Bonus 1xBet Promo Code 2026	1.69	4.15 1xbet 04 Sep 20:02 4.2 -0.05	4.96 1xbet 05 Sep 20:02 4.86 + 0.1 04 Sep 20:02 4.95 -0.09	97%
Melbet	Bonus Melbet Promo Code	1.66	4.08 Melbet 04 Sep 20:02 4.12 -0.06	4.88 Melbet 05 Sep 20:02 4.78 + 0.08 04 Sep 20:02 4.86 -0.08	95%
1win	Bonus 1Win Promo Code	1.68 1win 04 Sep 20:02 1.62 + 0.06	3.9 1win 04 Sep 20:02 4.2 -0.3	4.6	94%
Bet365	Bonus 15% of your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits up to 60 $	1.65	3.9 Bet365 04 Sep 20:02 3.8 + 0.1	4.2 Bet365 04 Sep 20:02 4.75 -0.55	90%
Betway		2.15	2.38	4.33	89%
Afropari	Bonus Afropari Promo Code 2026	2.07	2.29 Afropari 05 Sep 21:06 2.35 -0.06	4.7	87%
Betwinner	Bonus BetWinner Promo Code	1.65	3.8 Betwinner 05 Sep 20:02 3.9 -0.1	4.6 Betwinner 05 Sep 20:02 4.5 + 0.1 04 Sep 20:02 4.6 -0.1	92%
Average		1.79	3.5	4.61	92%
Highest		2.15	4.15	4.96	97%

Players to watch

EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) 2026/2027

Danny Welbeck

100% of Chelsea goals

7.58

James Justin

50% of Leeds goals

8.11

1

Matches

1

1

Goals

1

0

Penalty goals

0

1.25

Goals per 90 min

1

72

Min per goal

90

Goal Getters

Daniel James 1 goals

Chelsea vs Leeds Head to Head History

Recent H2H Games - 10

Chelsea

6 wins 60%

2 draws 20%

2 wins 20%

Leeds

In the last 10 encounter(s), Chelsea won 6 time(s), Leeds have 2 win(s), and 2 ended in a draw.

Over 1.5

70% 7/10

Over 2.5

70% 7/10

Over 3.5

50% 5/10

BTTS

50% 5/10

Clean Sheets

40% Chelsea

Clean Sheets

20% Leeds

26.04.26 FT

FA Cup England

Chelsea

1

Leeds

0

10.02.26 FT

English Premier League

Chelsea

2

Leeds

2

03.12.25 FT

English Premier League

Leeds

3

Chelsea

1

28.02.24 FT

FA Cup England

Chelsea

3

Leeds

2

04.03.23 FT

English Premier League

Chelsea

1

Leeds

0

21.08.22 FT

English Premier League

Leeds

3

Chelsea

0

11.05.22 FT

English Premier League

Leeds

0

Chelsea

3

11.12.21 FT

English Premier League

Chelsea

3

Leeds

2

13.03.21 FT

English Premier League

Leeds

0

Chelsea

0

05.12.20 FT

English Premier League

Chelsea

3

Leeds

1

Show more

Teams Season Stats (Current League)

Matches Attack Defence

Chelsea

Leeds

1

Played

1

1

Won Home

0

0

Won Away

1

2

Goals

2

66

Ball possession

49

11

Shots off target

6

7

Shots on target

5

9

Corner kicks

2

2

Offsides

1

0

Yellow cards

3

1

Clean Sheets

1

1

Own Goals

1

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5.6 17%

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X

4.25 23%

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Prediction 5 TIPS