Europa League
Round 1
AC Milan vs Benfica
AC Milan
1 place
16 sep 2026, 15:00
2
:
1
Correct score 2:1
Win Rate
5%
The most likely outcome according to the mathematical prediction
Benfica
1 place
AC Milan VS Benfica Math predictions
Full-time result
Home
45%
2.16
Draw
27%
3.61
Away
28%
3.43
W1
Result:
W1
Win Rate
43%
The probability of 2.16 odds implies 45% chance of success, but it only happened in 43% of the last 7 games with similar odds.
2.16
Both teams to score
Yes
59%
1.58
No
41%
2.26
BTTS: Yes
BTTS:
YES
Win Rate
63%
The probability of 1.58 odds implies 59% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 63% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
1.58
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
1.76
Under 2.5
45%
2.16
O/U: Over 2.5
Total Goals:
Over
Win Rate
53%
The probability of 1.76 odds implies 55% chance of success, but it only happened in 53% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
1.76
Double Chance
1/X
72%
1.34
1/2
73%
1.32
X/2
55%
1.74
W1 or W2
Double chance:
1/2
Win Rate
70%
The probability of 1.32 odds implies 73% chance of success, but it only happened in 70% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
1.32
Correct Score
Chance
Odds
Correct Score
Correct Score:
1:1
Win Rate
7%
The probability of 6.5 odds implies 7% chance of success, and these expectations were fulfilled in 7% of the recent 15 games with similar odds.
6.5
Bet Builder Tips for AC Milan VS Benfica
Handicap: 1 +2
Handicap:
1 +2
Win Rate
100%
The probability of 1.08 odds implies 83% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 100% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.08
Chance
83%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1win | $10.8 | 1.08 | 88% |
O/U Away Team: Under 2.25
O/U Away Team:
Under 2.25
Win Rate
93%
The probability of 1.12 odds implies 81% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 93% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.12
Chance
81%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Afropari | $11.2 | 1.12 | 89% |
O/U Away Team: Under 2.5
O/U Away Team:
Under 2.5
Win Rate
93%
The probability of 1.11 odds implies 83% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 93% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.11
Chance
83%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1win | $11.1 | 1.11 | 92% | |
|
|
1xbet | $11 | 1.1 | 93% | |
|
Betway | $10.91 | 1.09 | 92% |
Corners: Under 11.5
Corners:
Under 11.5
Win Rate
93%
The probability of 1.32 odds implies 70% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 93% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.32
Chance
70%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1win | $13.2 | 1.32 | 91% | |
|
|
1xbet | $12.3 | 1.23 | 86% |
Total Goals: Over 1.75
Total Goals:
Over 1.75
Win Rate
90%
The probability of 1.26 odds implies 74% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 90% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.26
Chance
74%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Afropari | $12.6 | 1.26 | 93% | |
|
|
1xbet | $12.6 | 1.26 | 92% |
Fixture Analysis
Match Overview
AC Milan host Benfica at San Siro on Europa League round 1, with both sides starting from a nominal qualification-to–1/8-finals seeding but under different pressures. Milan are slight home favourites by odds, yet Benfica arrive with fa...
Stats Trends & Facts
- All
- Match Result
- Goals
- Cards
- Corners
Unbeaten
5 games
100%
AC Milan are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Match Result - AC Milan mostly likely will not lose
1.34
Winning
7 games
100%
Benfica won all of their last 7 matches.
Match Result - Benfica likely will win
3.79
Unbeaten
12 games
100%
Benfica are unbeaten in their last 12 matches.
Match Result - Benfica mostly likely will not lose
1.74
AC Milan vs Benfica Betting statistics
All leagues
Europa League
10
Played
15
Played
100 %
Over 0.5 goals
100 %
100 %
Over 1.5 goals
100 %
70 %
Over 2.5 goals
87 %
30 %
Over 3.5 goals
60 %
10 %
Over 4.5 goals
27 %
40 %
Over 1.5 goals in 1st period
47 %
10 %
Goals scored in both halves
67 %
30 %
Goals conceded in both halves
13 %
AC Milan vs Benfica Compare odds
United States| BM | Bonuses | W1 | X | W2 | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Bonus
1xBet Promo Code 2026
|
2.16
1xbet
02 Sep 21:04
2.04
+ 0.06
|
3.61
1xbet
06 Sep 21:02
3.73
-0.1
05 Sep 21:07
3.78
-0.06
02 Sep 21:04
3.83
-0.05
|
3.43
1xbet
09 Sep 20:01
3.41
+ 0.06
02 Sep 21:04
3.57
-0.14
|
97%
|
|
Bonus
Melbet Promo Code
|
2.12
|
3.52
|
3.36
|
95%
|
|
|
2.5
|
2.3
Betway
07 Sep 21:04
2.25
+ 0.05
05 Sep 21:07
2.3
-0.05
|
3.5
Betway
07 Sep 21:04
3.6
-0.1
|
88%
|
|
|
Bonus
15% of your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits up to 60 $
|
2.1
|
3.5
Bet365
14 Sep 12:01
3.4
+ 0.1
|
3.25
Bet365
14 Sep 12:01
3.2
+ 0.05
|
94%
|
|
|
Bonus
1Win Promo Code
|
2.02
|
3.75
|
3.35
|
94%
|
|
|
Bonus
Afropari Promo Code 2026
|
2.45
Afropari
02 Sep 21:04
2.4
+ 0.05
|
2.24
Afropari
12 Sep 21:07
2.3
-0.06
|
3.79
Afropari
12 Sep 21:07
3.28
+ 0.51
03 Sep 21:08
3.2
+ 0.08
02 Sep 21:04
3.72
-0.52
|
89%
|
|
Bonus
BetWinner Promo Code
|
2.1
|
3.4
|
3.25
|
93%
|
| Average | 2.21 | 3.19 | 3.42 |
93%
|
|
| Highest | 2.5 | 3.75 | 3.79 |
97%
|
AC Milan vs Benfica Head to Head History
Recent H2H Games - 4
1
win
25%
2
draws
50%
1
win
25%
Over 1.5
75%
3/4
Over 2.5
25%
1/4
Over 3.5
0%
0/4
BTTS
75%
3/4
Clean Sheets
0%
AC Milan
Clean Sheets
25%
Benfica
28.07.19 FT
International Champions Cup
AC Milan
Benfica
0
1
08.08.09 FT
Club Friendlies
Benfica
AC Milan
1
1
28.11.07 FT
Champions League
Benfica
AC Milan
1
1
18.09.07 FT
Champions League
AC Milan
Benfica
2
1
Last matches - AC Milan
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
4
wins
40%
4
draws
40%
2
losses
20%
Avg Goals Scored
1.7
Avg Goals Conceded
1.5
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
1.6
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
3
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
80%
12.09.26 FT
Serie A Italy
Lazio
AC Milan
2
2
06.09.26 FT
Serie A Italy
Juventus
AC Milan
1
1
28.08.26 FT
Serie A Italy
AC Milan
Venezia
2
0
23.08.26 FT
Serie A Italy
Torino
AC Milan
1
2
15.08.26 FT
Club Friendlies
Manchester United
AC Milan
2
4
Last matches - Benfica
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
8
wins
80%
2
draws
20%
0
lost
0%
Avg Goals Scored
3.4
Avg Goals Conceded
0.8
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
1.4
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
7.9
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
70%
13.09.26 FT
Primeira Liga Portugal
Benfica
Gil Vicente
3
1
09.09.26 FT
Primeira Liga Portugal
Moreirense
Benfica
0
4
05.09.26 FT
Primeira Liga Portugal
Maritimo
Benfica
0
3
31.08.26 FT
Primeira Liga Portugal
Benfica
Estoril
2
1
27.08.26 FT
Europa League
AGF
1
Benfica
3
AC Milan vs Benfica standings
Europa League Table| № | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pt |
| 1 | Celtic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olympiacos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Salzburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Besiktas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sparta Prague | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Torreense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ararat Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | NK Celje | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Viktoria Plzen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | OFI Crete | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Union St.Gilloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Omonia Nicosia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ferencvaros | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | NEC Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lillestroem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 1 | Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
AC Milan vs Benfica form comparison
Popular upcoming Europa League matches
Europa League Fixtures
16.09.26 12:45
-
-
1
19%
X
23%
2
58%
Prediction
16.09.26 12:45
-
-
1
23%
X
28%
2
49%
Prediction
16.09.26 15:00
-
-
1
26%
X
25%
2
49%
Prediction
16.09.26 15:00
-
-
1
58%
X
23%
2
19%
Prediction
16.09.26 15:00
-
-
1
26%
X
25%
2
49%
Prediction
16.09.26 15:00
-
-
1
27%
X
26%
2
48%
Prediction
16.09.26 15:00
-
-
1
69%
X
20%
2
11%
Prediction
16.09.26 15:00
-
-
1
82%
X
12%
2
6%
Prediction
17.09.26 12:45
-
-
1
32%
X
27%
2
41%
Prediction