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Uruguay vs Spain prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on June 27, 2026

Spain will win by more than the minimum margin
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 25 Jun 2026, 20:30
Uruguay vs Spain match prediction on Jun 26, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
5.96 Linebet 26 Jun 10:01 6.21 -0.25 26 Jun 09:01 6.31 -0.1 26 Jun 06:01 6.26 + 0.05 26 Jun 05:01 6.46 -0.2 26 Jun 04:01 6.61 -0.15 26 Jun 03:01 7.37 -0.76 26 Jun 02:01 7.55 -0.18 26 Jun 02:00 7.65 -0.1 26 Jun 01:05 7.95 -0.3 26 Jun 00:01 8.05 -0.1 25 Jun 23:01 7.9 + 0.15 25 Jun 22:01 7.8 + 0.1 25 Jun 21:01 7.65 + 0.15 25 Jun 20:00 7.44 + 0.21 25 Jun 12:00 7.38 + 0.06 25 Jun 04:00 7.03 + 0.35 24 Jun 21:00 7.28 -0.25 24 Jun 20:00 7.03 + 0.25 24 Jun 08:00 7.28 -0.25 23 Jun 20:00 6.92 + 0.36 22 Jun 20:00 6.51 + 0.41 21 Jun 20:00 6.46 + 0.05 3.64 Linebet 26 Jun 10:01 3.76 -0.13 26 Jun 09:01 3.89 -0.13 26 Jun 03:01 4.09 -0.11 26 Jun 02:01 4.02 + 0.07 26 Jun 01:05 4.19 -0.2 26 Jun 00:01 4.24 -0.05 25 Jun 22:01 4.21 + 0.05 25 Jun 21:01 4.26 -0.05 25 Jun 12:00 4.36 -0.13 25 Jun 04:00 4.31 + 0.05 23 Jun 20:00 4.52 -0.22 22 Jun 20:00 4.36 + 0.15 21 Jun 20:00 4.31 + 0.05 1.75 Linebet 26 Jun 10:01 1.7 + 0.05 26 Jun 03:01 1.58 + 0.06
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22 TIPS
Tournament World Cup
Venue Guadalajara Stadium (Zapopan, JAL)
Date & kick-off time Today, 20:00

In the third round of the World Cup on June 27, 2026, the national teams of Uruguay and Spain will face off. The match will decide the top spot in the group.

Uruguay vs Spain: Team News and Expert Analysis

Uruguay collected 28 points from eighteen qualification matches—third best, on par with Colombia, Paraguay, and Brazil. Ahead of the World Cup, they struggled to secure wins: they lost to the USA back in November, and drew with Mexico, England, and Algeria. In the first round against Saudi Arabia, after conceding first, they barely managed a 1-1 draw. They also failed to beat Cape Verde, settling for a 2-2 result.

Spain, after triumphing at the Euros, stumbled in the Nations League final, losing to Portugal on penalties. Following a smooth qualification campaign (only the Turks managed a draw in the final round), in 2026, they surprisingly recorded a couple of draws in friendlies against Egypt and Iraq. However, they finished with a 3-1 win over Peru. At the World Cup, they sensationally failed to score against debutants Cape Verde, resulting in a 0-0 start. But then, against Saudi Arabia, they recorded a confident 4-0 victory.

The Latin American team averages only 1.1 goals scored per game but concedes even less, at 1.0. The European champions score 2.3 goals on average and concede just 0.4 per game.

Head-to-Head: Uruguay vs Spain

In eight meetings, Spain have never lost and have won half of them, including the last three in a row.

Yamal and company are noticeably stronger than their opponents. We believe in their win with a "-1 goal" handicap (odds – 1.82).

Uruguay vs Spain: Key Statistics and Trends

  • Uruguay are winless in six consecutive matches
  • 50% of Uruguay’s matches end with goals from both teams and the average total goals per match is 2.1
  • Spain have drawn three of their last five matches
  • 30% of Spain’s matches end with goals from both teams and the average total goals per match is 2.7

Uruguay vs Spain: Probable Starting Lineups

Uruguay play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Muslera – Vina, Olivera, Caceres, Varela – Bentancur, Ugarte – Araujo, Vinas, Valverde – Nunez. De Arrascaeta and R. Araujo are sidelined with injuries.

Spain play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Simon – Cucurella, Laporte, Cubarsi, Porro – Pedri, Rodri – Olmo, Baena, Oyarzabal – Yamal.

Place a bet on the upcoming match and follow the teams’ performances in the World Cup standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction W2(-1)
1.82
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 48
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.71
Void Voided bets (postponements, cancellations, etc.) in the last 30 days 68
Won/total Performance for the last 30 days 144 / 303
Active tips 14
Form
Game Prediction Our Pick
W2(-1)
1.82