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Stuttgart vs Freiburg prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, April 23, 2026

Expect at least a couple of goals
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 22 Apr 2026, 17:00
VfB Stuttgart vs Freiburg match prediction on Apr 23, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.68 4.35 4.92
58% 22% 20%
45 TIPS
Tournament DFB-Pokal Germany
Date & kick-off time 23 apr 2026, 14:45

In the German Cup semifinal on April 23, 2026, Stuttgart will face Freiburg. To keep their hopes of retaining the title alive, the hosts must win.

Stuttgart vs Freiburg: Team News and Expert Analysis

The team from "MHP Arena" salvaged last season through the cup, compensating for an unsuccessful Champions League run and a mid-table finish in the Bundesliga by winning the trophy. This year, the Germans competed in the Europa League but were knocked out by Porto in the round of 16. Now they can focus on the Bundesliga, where they are fighting for third or fourth place, having suffered a predictable defeat to Bayern after thrashing Hamburg.

The club from Breisgau last year allowed Borussia Dortmund to overtake them, surrendering fourth place. As a result, they went to the Europa League, where they lasted longer than their opponent: on Thursday, they earned another win over Celta in the quarterfinals. However, their league form has dipped noticeably, with as many defeats as wins in the Bundesliga. Still, their last few rounds in the league ended successfully.

In the cup, Hoeneß's men only managed to beat their first opponent, Eintracht Braunschweig, on penalties. But then they kept clean sheets against Mainz, Bochum, and Holstein. Their guests, on the other hand, beat Sportfreunde, Fortuna, and Darmstadt, but their quarterfinal against Hertha also went to a penalty shootout.

Previous Matches: Stuttgart vs Freiburg

In the last four head-to-head meetings, both clubs won their home matches.

The hosts are favored here, but the visitors have also found form. The recommendation is to bet on "total over 2.5 goals" (odds – 1.65).

Stuttgart vs Freiburg: Key Stats and Trends

  • Stuttgart have won three of their last six matches
  • On average, Stuttgart score 2.07 goals and concede 1.4 goals per match
  • 57% of Stuttgart's matches end with both teams scoring and the average total goals per match is 3.47
  • Freiburg have won their last four matches
  • On average, Freiburg score 1.47 goals and concede 1.6 goals per match
  • 60% of Freiburg's matches end with both teams scoring and the average total goals per match is 3.07

Stuttgart vs Freiburg: Probable Starting Lineups

Stuttgart play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): Nübel - Mittelstädt, Chabot, Jeļč, Assignon - Chema Andres, Stiller - Führich, Nartey, Tiago Tomás - Undav. Jovanović is not ready to return to the pitch.

Freiburg play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): Atubolu - Makengo, Ogbus, Ginter, Treu - Manzambi, Eggestein - Grifo, Suzuki, Beste - Matanović. Osterhage and Rosenfelder will not travel.

Place your bets on the upcoming match and follow your team's position in the German Cup standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Total over 2,5
1.65
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Total over 2,5
1.65