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Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: match preview, predicted lineups, tips & odds on July 5, 2025

Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 03 Jul 2025, 13:25
Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund match prediction on Jul 05, 2025
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.66 4.15 5.38
59% 23% 18%
2 TIPS
Tournament FIFA Club World Cup
Date & kick-off time 05 jul 2025, 16:00

In the quarterfinals of the Club World Cup on July 5, 2025, Real Madrid will face Borussia Dortmund. The German side will try to break their losing streak but will again be clear underdogs.

Our Prediction for Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund

The Spanish giants have not yet won any trophies in 2025. They were knocked out of the Champions League by London’s Arsenal. At home, Barcelona consistently defeated their rivals in the finals of the Supercopa, Copa del Rey, and La Liga. All of this eventually led to the resignation of Ancelotti. The Germans changed their coach earlier in the tournament, and that decision paid off: Niko Kovac, who replaced the unsuccessful Nuri Sahin, managed to secure fourth place in the Bundesliga.

It was at the Club World Cup that Xabi Alonso made his debut. Due to a missed penalty, he failed to start with a victory over Al Hilal. But after that, his squad only won. Pachuca and Red Bull Salzburg each conceded three goals, and Juventus were knocked out in the playoffs by a single goal from the new coach’s protégé, Gonzalo Garcia.

The German side reached the quarterfinals in a similar fashion. They started with a goalless draw against Fluminense. Then they narrowly defeated all their opponents—Mamelodi Sundowns (4-3) and Ulsan HD (1-0) in the group stage, and Monterrey in the playoffs (2-1, with a brace from Guirassy).

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund: Key Stats and Trends

  • Real Madrid have won three games in a row
  • On average, Real Madrid score 2.05 goals and concede 1 goal per match
  • 55% of Real Madrid’s matches end with both teams scoring, with an average total of 3.05 goals per match.
  • Borussia Dortmund have won nine of their last ten matches
  • On average, Borussia Dortmund score 2.09 goals and concede 1.5 goals per match
  • 68% of Borussia Dortmund’s matches end with both teams scoring, with an average total of 3.59 goals per match.

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund: Possible Starting Lineups

Real Madrid (probable lineup): Courtois – Heisen, Rudiger, Tchouameni – Fran Garcia, Güler, Valverde, Bellingham, Alexander-Arnold – Vinicius Junior, Gonzalo Garcia

Borussia Dortmund (probable lineup): Kobel – Bensebaini, Anton, Sule – Svensson, Sabitzer, Nmecha, Gross, Ryerson – Adeyemi, Guirassy

Previous Matches: Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund

In both 2017 and 2024, in all four most recent head-to-head encounters, only the Spanish side emerged victorious.

Free Prediction for Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund

Nothing will change under Xabi Alonso – Modric and company will win in regular time (odds – 1.66).

Place your bets on this match and follow your team’s position in the Club World Cup standings.

Our Pick
Game Prediction Real Madrid to Win
1.66
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Real Madrid to Win
1.66