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Portugal vs Spain prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

The Spanish Team Can Win
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 05 Jul 2026, 17:00
Portugal vs Spain match prediction on Jul 06, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
3.96 Linebet 05 Jul 11:01 4.05 -0.07 04 Jul 12:00 4.12 -0.06 3.84 Linebet 05 Jul 04:01 3.77 + 0.07 03 Jul 21:04 3.67 + 0.07 1.99
25% 26% 49%
24 TIPS
Tournament World Cup
Venue Dallas Stadium (Arlington)
Date & kick-off time 06 jul 2026, 15:00

In the Round of 16 of the World Cup on July 6, 2026, a match will be held between the national teams of Portugal and Spain. Both sides are eager to defeat their neighbor.

Portugal vs Spain: Team News and Expert Analysis

Under their current manager, Roberto Martínez, Portugal won the Nations League (beating their next opponent in the final), and then, collecting just thirteen points from six matches, still managed to finish first in their group. At this World Cup, they started with a 1-1 draw against DR Congo, then after thrashing Uzbekistan, pragmatically shared points with Colombia in a 0-0 draw. Thus qualifying for the playoffs, the team conceded first to Croatia, but ultimately fought back for a 2-1 comeback win, with Gonçalo Ramos netting the decisive goal in the fourth minute of stoppage time.

Spain are the reigning European champions. In qualifying, they only drew in the final round, having won all previous matches. At the World Cup, they started shakily with a 0-0 draw against debutants Cape Verde. After that, they only won, beating Saudi Arabia and Uruguay in the group stage, and then Austria in the Round of 32—without conceding a single goal.

Ronaldo and his team average 2.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match. The Euro champions are also in good form: scoring 2.1 goals per game and conceding only 0.4 on average.

Previous Matches: Portugal vs Spain

In six of the last seven encounters, there was only one Spanish victory in regulation—of course, by a 1-0 scoreline.

De la Fuente's side looks more convincing—let's believe they can win (odds – 1.93).

Portugal vs Spain: Key Statistics and Trends

  • Portugal alternates wins and draws in the tournament
  • 50% of Portugal's matches end with goals from both teams, with an average total of 3.0 goals per match
  • Spain have won three matches in a row
  • 30% of Spain's matches end with goals from both teams, and the average total is 2.5 goals per match.

Portugal vs Spain: Probable Starting Lineups

Portugal plays a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Diogo Costa – Nuno Mendes, Renato Veiga, Rúben Dias, João Cancelo – Vitinha, João Neves – Rafael Leão, Bruno Fernandes, Pedro Neto – Cristiano Ronaldo

Spain plays a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Unai Simón – Cucurella, Laporte, Cubarsí, Pedro Porro – Pedri, Rodri – Álex Baena, Olmo, Yamal – Oyarzabal

Follow the World Cup standings and check your team's form before betting on the next match.

Our Pick
Game Prediction Spain to Win
1.93
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 49
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.72
Void Voided bets (postponements, cancellations, etc.) in the last 30 days 80
Won/total Performance for the last 30 days 141 / 286
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Spain to Win
1.93