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Portsmouth vs Derby County prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

The hosts are likely to win
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 30 Aug 2026, 09:46
Portsmouth vs Derby match prediction on Sep 01, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
2.21 3.28 Linebet 29 Aug 21:06 3.25 + 0.05 3.23
42% 29% 29%
32 TIPS
Tournament EFL Championship
Venue Fratton Park (Portsmouth)
Date & kick-off time 01 sep 2026, 14:45

In the 4th round of the English Championship, Portsmouth will face Derby County on September 1, 2026. Both teams will be looking to give their supporters something to celebrate.

Portsmouth vs Derby County team news and expert analysis

The Portsmouth side collected 55 points last season, finishing eighteenth on goal difference. They started the current campaign with a 1-3 home defeat to QPR. Before that, they had suffered an identical defeat to West Ham in the League Cup. They then managed to beat Lincoln City, but in the latest round they once again came away empty-handed after losing to Bristol City.

The Derby side tried to secure a place in the playoffs last season, but ultimately finished eighth with 69 points. After the summer break, they were immediately knocked out of the League Cup, losing 1-2 to modest Lincoln City. They then suffered the same scoreline away to Charlton on the opening weekend. After that, they hosted Welsh opposition, Cardiff and Swansea, drawing with the former before suffering a heavy defeat to the latter.

Mousinho's men scored 1.67 goals per game while conceding two on average. Their upcoming opponents currently average just one goal scored per match and 2.33 conceded.

Previous matches: Portsmouth vs Derby County

Since 2010, Derby have lost just once against Portsmouth, while they have won two of the last four head-to-head encounters.

Both teams have endured poor starts to the campaign, and the home advantage could prove decisive. We are backing Portsmouth with a "0" handicap (odds – 1.70).

Portsmouth vs Derby County: key statistics and trends

  • Portsmouth have lost three of their last four matches
  • 100% of Portsmouth's matches have ended with both teams scoring, with an average total of 3.67 goals per match
  • Derby County have lost three of their four matches this season
  • 67% of Derby County's matches have ended with both teams scoring, with an average total of 3.33 goals per match

Portsmouth vs Derby County: Possible starting lineups

Portsmouth play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): Schmid - Swanson, Shaughnessy, Poole, Devlin - Adams, Shayne - Brooke-Smith, Segecic, Kamara - Bishop

Derby County play in a 1-5-3-2 formation (possible lineup): Videl-Setterström - Taylor, Ward, Forsyth, Sanderson, Lango - Clarke, Travis, Froulolo - Smódics, Morris

Follow the English Championship standings and keep track of your team's form before betting on the next match.

Our Pick
Game Prediction W1(0)
1.7
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W1(0)
1.7