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Lecce vs Genoa prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on May 24, 2026

Expecting at least a couple of goals
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 20 May 2026, 13:24
Lecce vs Genoa match prediction on May 24, 2026
Tournament Serie A Italy
Date & kick-off time 24 may 2026, 14:45

In the 38th round of the Italian Serie A, Lecce and Genoa will face off on May 24, 2026. This is largely a formality for both sides.

Lecce vs Genoa: Team News and Expert Analysis

The club from "Via del Mare" secured its Serie A status last season, taking the "safe" seventeenth spot with just 34 points. This season, results remain modest, but, crucially, there is once again a trio of clear outsiders. And, at the right time, they managed a win over Sassuolo in the previous round.

The team from Genoa replaced Gilardino with Vieira last season and ultimately finished thirteenth. In the current campaign, there was another coaching change, and under De Rossi, the team improved and once again surpassed the forty-goal mark. However, in the last round, they lost 1-2 to Milan.

The hosts' stats are weak: averaging 0.73 goals scored and as many as 1.35 conceded per game. Ellertsson and his teammates have more optimistic numbers, though their ratio is also negative: 1.11 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per match.

Previous Matches: Lecce vs Genoa

In the last four meetings, Genoa alternated between home wins and away draws.

The hosts could certainly use another win. But the visitors may also make a mark—our tip is a neutral "total over 2.0 goals" (odds – 1.7).

Lecce vs Genoa: Key Stats and Trends

  • Lecce have lost only once in their last five games
  • 38% of Lecce's matches end with goals from both teams, with an average total of 2.08 goals per match
  • Genoa have lost two of their last four matches
  • 54% of Genoa's matches end with goals from both teams, with an average total of 2.46 goals per match

Lecce vs Genoa: Probable Starting Lineups

Lecce are expected to play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Falcone - Gallo, Thiago Gabriel, Siebert, Danilo Veiga - Ngom, Ramadani - Banda, Koulibaly, Pierotti - Cheddira. Sottil and Berisha are sidelined due to injuries.

Genoa are expected to play in a 1-3-4-2-1 formation (probable lineup): Beylo, Vasquez, Estigor, Marcandalli - Sabelli, Frendrup, Alex Amorim, Ellertsson - Ehator, Vitinha - Colombo. Junior Messias is unavailable to play.

Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's progress in the Italian Serie A standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Total over 2
1.7
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Total over 2
1.7