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Freiburg vs RB Leipzig prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on May 16, 2026

The hosts will not lose
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 15 May 2026, 17:30
Freiburg vs RB Leipzig match prediction on May 16, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
2.51 4 2.62
39% 24% 37%
48 TIPS
Tournament Bundesliga Germany
Date & kick-off time 16 may 2026, 09:30

In the 34th round of the German Bundesliga 1 on May 16, 2026, Freiburg and RB Leipzig will face off. The hosts need only a win.

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig: Team News and Expert Analysis

The club from "Europa-Park" missed out on fourth place to Borussia Dortmund by just two points at the last moment a year ago. As a result, they went to the Europa League, where the Germans reached the semifinals and secured the necessary result against Braga. At the same stage, but in the cup, they lost to Stuttgart, the eventual trophy winner. Meanwhile, their performance in the Bundesliga slightly dipped, especially recently: losses against Dortmund and Hamburg, and only a draw with Wolfsburg.

The Leipzig team in 2024/2025 failed to advance to the Champions League playoffs and then lost sixth place to Mainz by a single point, finishing with 51 points. Now, under their new coach Werner, they have improved, especially in the spring, and have secured third place. The victory over St. Pauli gave them an unassailable lead over several competitors.

The Breisgau side has a negative goal difference despite their relatively high position: 1.42 goals scored per game versus 1.7 conceded. For Diomande and company, things are much better: they average 1.97 goals scored and concede 1.3 per match.

Head-to-Head: Freiburg vs RB Leipzig

The last time Freiburg won was back in 2019. In the last seven encounters, they have only managed one goalless draw.

The visitors are favored, but they have nothing left to play for. In these circumstances, we predict that the hosts "will not lose" (odds – 1.62).

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig: Key Stats and Trends

  • Freiburg has lost twice in their last three rounds
  • 61% of Freiburg's matches end with goals from both teams and the average total goals per match is 3.12
  • RB Leipzig has won eight of their last ten matches
  • 61% of RB Leipzig's matches end with goals from both teams and the average total goals per match is 3.27

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig: Probable Starting Lineups

Freiburg plays in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): Atubolu - Günter, Lienhart, Ogbus, Kübler - Höfler, Eggestein - Grifo, Höler, Scherhant - Matanović. Sudzuki and Osterhage will not feature.

RB Leipzig plays in a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): Vandervoordt - Finkgräfe, Bitshiabu, Orban, Baku - Baumgartner, Schlager, Uedraogo - Nusa, Romulo, Diomande. Gebel, Suleiman, and Zingerle will not be available.

Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's performance in the Bundesliga 1 Germany standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Freiburg won't lose
1.62
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.71
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Freiburg won't lose
1.62