Freiburg vs Dortmund Prediction and Betting Tips on April 5, 2025
Freiburg will take on Borussia Dortmund at the Europa-Park Stadion on April 26, 2025, in the Bundesliga at 13:30 GMT. The home has being disappointing recently while pushing for a European spot, while Dortmund aims to solidify their standing and climb higher.
Freiburg vs Dortmund Key Stats & Trends
- Freiburg are winless in their last 5 Bundesliga matches (2L, 3D).
- The Breisgau-Brasilianer average 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
- Freiburg won 2 of their last 5 home games.
- Dortmund have won 2 of their last 5 matches.
- The Black and Yellows average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
- Dortmund have won 60% of their last 5 away games.
Freiburg vs Dortmund Recent Form
Freiburg are battling to secure a top-six finish in the Bundesliga as the season nears its climax. Sitting in 7th place with 42 points from 27 games, they’ve shown resilience at home but have struggled for consistency. Coach Julian Schuster will demand a strong performance to keep their European hopes alive against a formidable Dortmund side.
Dortmund, meanwhile, are in the thick of a competitive season, balancing Bundesliga ambitions with Champions League commitments. Positioned 10th four with 38 points from 27 games, they’ve been buoyed by a recent 3-1 victory over Mainz 05. Niko Kovac’s men will look to leverage their attacking firepower to secure vital points on the road and maintain pressure on the league leaders.
Form
- Freiburg: D-D-D-L-L
- Dortmund: D-L-W-L-W
Injury & Team News
Freiburg will probably be without goalkeeper Noah Atubolu who ha been subbed off in their last encounter, while Daniel-Kofi Kyereh, Merlin Rohl and Noah Atubolu are all ruled due to different injuries.
Dortmund, on the other hand, welcome back their star striker Serhou Guirassy in training, with coach Niko Kovac confirming in his pre-match press conference that the Guinean will be available this weekend. Niklas Süle and Emre Can are ruled out with injuries, while Yan Couto and Nico Schlotterbeck are serving their suspension.
Predicted Line-ups
- Freiburg possible line-up: Müller - Sildillia, Ginter, Linhart, Günter - Eggestein, Osterhage - Doan, Dinkci, Grifo - Höler
- Dortmund possible line-up: Kobel - Ryerson, Anton, Can, Svensson - Özcan, Gross - Adeyemi, Brandt, Beyer - Guirassy
Freiburg vs Dortmund Pre-game Odds & Win Probability
Despite Freiburg’s home advantage, bookmakers give Dortmund the edge with a 42% chance of victory with odds at 2.32, reflecting their attacking prowess. Freiburg’s home win is priced at 3.25 (30% probability), while a draw sits at 3.62 (27% probability).
Correct Score Prediction: Freiburg 1-2 Dortmund
Given Dortmund’s superior goal-scoring record and Freiburg’s defensive resilience, a narrow 2-1 away win seems plausible. Freiburg are likely to find the net at home, but Dortmund’s attacking depth could prove decisive.
Players to Watch: Grifo – Guirassy
Vincenzo Grifo is Freiburg’s talisman, known for his set-piece wizardry and creative flair. With 8 goals and 8 assists in 27 Bundesliga games, the 31-year-old Italian winger will be the key to breaking down Dortmund’s backline and inspiring an upset.
For Dortmund, Serhou Guirassy is the man in form. The Guinean will be back in action for the Black Yellow this weekend after missing their recent game. The former Stuttgart forward has 14 goals and 2 in 23 appearances in the league and will be keen on making a winning comeback.
Expert Tip: Dortmund to Win & Both Teams To Score ‘Yes’
Dortmund’s attacking momentum and Freiburg’s tendency to score at home suggest a game with goals. Backing Dortmund to win, but with Both Teams To Score ‘Yes’ offers value at odds of at 1.61, with 58% probability. Both teams’ recent trends support an open, entertaining clash.
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