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Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, May 22, 2026

The match won't bring many goals
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 21 May 2026, 17:37
Fiorentina vs Atalanta match prediction on May 22, 2026
Tournament Serie A Italy
Date & kick-off time 22 may 2026, 14:45

In the 38th round of the Italian Serie A on May 22, 2026, Fiorentina and Atalanta will face off. The visitors wouldn't mind picking up another point.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta: Team News and Expert Analysis

The club from Florence finished sixth last season with 65 points. However, due to Bologna's cup success, they again qualified for the Conference League. There, the Italians reached the quarterfinals, where they lost to Crystal Palace. In domestic competition, they only started winning in the winter after Vanoli replaced Pioli—who had failed after joining in the summer. In the previous round, they even beat Juventus 2-0.

The team from Bergamo finished third a year ago, but that was the last achievement for coach Gasperini, who left for Roma. His replacement, Juric, quickly disappointed. Palladino did better; the Italians even knocked out Borussia in the Champions League playoffs after losing in Dortmund and reached the cup semifinals. However, there were defeats, and in Serie A things stopped working out in the spring. Still, they beat Milan, though they later lost to Bologna.

Solomon and company score an average of 1.08 goals per match, conceding 1.32. Palladino's side has positive statistics: on average, 1.35 goals scored and a third fewer, 0.95, conceded per game.

Previous Matches: Fiorentina vs Atalanta

In the last six meetings, the clubs have strictly alternated wins against each other.

The teams are considered almost evenly matched. There's no reason to go all out here—take "total under 3.0 goals" (odds – 1.70).

Fiorentina vs Atalanta: Key Statistics and Trends

  • Fiorentina have lost only twice in the last fourteen rounds
  • 57% of Fiorentina's matches end with both teams scoring and the average goal total per match is 2.41
  • Atalanta have drawn three of their last four matches
  • 51% of Atalanta's matches end with both teams scoring and the average goal total per match is 2.3

Fiorentina vs Atalanta: Possible Starting Lineups

Fiorentina plays in a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): De Gea – Luis Balbo, Ranieri, Rugani, Dodo – N'Dour, Fagioli, Mandragora – Solomon, Gudmundsson, Harrison. Lamptey and Kean are out.

Atalanta lines up in a 1-3-4-1-2 formation (possible lineup): Carnesecchi – Ahanor, Djimsiti, Scalvini – Zalewski, Ederson, de Roon, Zappacosta – De Ketelaere – Krstovic, Scamacca. Kossounou and Bernasconi will not play.

Place your bets on the upcoming match and track your team's position in the Italian Serie A standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Total under 3,0
1.7
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Total under 3,0
1.7