Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osaka Prediction and Bets - July 3, 2026
On July 3, Daria Kasatkina and Naomi Osaka will face each other in the third round of Wimbledon. Here is my prediction for this match.
Daria Kasatkina
The Australian athlete has had mixed results this year, recording 17 wins and 13 losses. Due to a hip injury, Kasatkina missed two months, resulting in limited play on hard courts.
On clay, she managed to win a challenger in Spain, and at Roland Garros, she reached the third round, where she lost to world number one Aryna Sabalenka. The athlete is currently ranked 65th in the world, having dropped 28 positions since the start of the year.
Before Wimbledon, Kasatkina played three matches on grass and lost all of them. She began her campaign at this major with a victory over Britain's Mingi Xu – 6:2, 3:6, 6:2. In the second round, she defeated Indonesia's Janice Tjen – 6:7, 6:1, 6:4.
Naomi Osaka
The former world number one needs little introduction, boasting four Grand Slam titles, although she has never progressed beyond the third round at Wimbledon. This season, the Japanese player has 18 wins in 25 matches and currently holds a high 14th position in the world rankings.
Osaka has not claimed any titles this season, but at her last grass tournament in Bad Homburg she reached the final, where she retired while trailing Karolina Muchova 1:6, 0:1. At Wimbledon, Osaka impresses not only with her vibrant outfits but also with her play; in the first round, she defeated France's Jacquemot 6:1, 7:65, and in the second, Russia's Gasanova 6:3, 6:2.
Head-to-Head
In their personal encounters, the Japanese player leads 3:0. Their last meeting was at the US Open last year, where Osaka won 6:0, 4:6, 6:3. It should also be noted that the two have not previously met on grass.
Prediction
Osaka is the clear favorite in this match-up, which is logical, though Kasatkina is certainly capable of putting up a fight. I expect an interesting and tense match in which both players will display a high level of play. I agree that the Japanese player has a better chance of success, and I suggest betting on a total of over 19.5 games.
