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Corinthians vs Cruzeiro prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

The match is unlikely to bring many goals
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 15 Aug 2026, 15:11
Corinthians vs Cruzeiro match prediction on Aug 16, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
2.3 Linebet 10 Aug 20:03 2.33 -0.06 3.15 Linebet 14 Aug 12:01 3.23 -0.06 3.46 Linebet 10 Aug 20:03 3.31 + 0.12 09 Aug 20:02 3.23 + 0.08
42% 30% 28%
35 TIPS
Tournament Serie A Brazil
Date & kick-off time 16 aug 2026, 18:30

In the 23rd round of Brazil's Serie A on August 17, 2026, Corinthians and Cruzeiro will face off. The home team will try to secure a win against a tough opponent.

Corinthians vs Cruzeiro: Team News and Expert Analysis

The São Paulo club saved last season by winning the cup—they finished 13th in the league. In addition to the trophy, this success granted them a spot in the Copa Libertadores. There, the Brazilians advanced to the playoffs, where they faced Rosario Central. Earlier in the cup, they traded wins with Internacional but scored fewer goals and were eliminated. However, their league performance saw some improvement: in the previous round, they defeated Red Bull Bragantino 2-0.

The team from Belo Horizonte surprisingly finished third last season with 70 points. As a result, they also qualified for the Copa Libertadores—starting the playoffs against Flamengo. Domestically, a dip in form was expected. Nonetheless, they managed to win in recent rounds, including against Mirassol. In the cup, they also emerged victorious over Chapecoense.

This season's cup winner is playing rather dull football—scoring only 1.09 goals per match while conceding 0.91. Arthur Jorge’s side has a negative record: 1.36 goals scored but 1.41 conceded per game.

Previous Matches: Corinthians vs Cruzeiro

In the last nine meetings, both teams have three wins each.

The home side is favored, but overall both teams are not particularly entertaining, so the "total under 2.5 goals" bet (odds – 1.66) is recommended.

Corinthians vs Cruzeiro: Key Stats and Trends

  • Corinthians have won two in a row
  • 45% of Corinthians matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 2.0
  • Cruzeiro have won three of their last four matches
  • 64% of Cruzeiro matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 2.77

Corinthians vs Cruzeiro: Probable Starting Lineups

Corinthians play with a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Hugo Souza – Matheus Bidu, Gustavo Henrique, Gabriel Paulista, Mateusinho – Andre, Allan – Zakaria Labyad, Breno Bidon, Caio Cesar – Yuri Alberto

Cruzeiro play with a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Otavio – Gabriel Rojas, Jonathan Jesus, Fabricio Bruno, Fagner – Gerson, Matheus Henrique, Matheus Pereira, Luis Sinisterra, Gabriel Pec, Caio Jorge

Follow the Serie A Brazil standings and check your team's form before placing a bet on the next match.

Our Pick
Game Prediction Total under 2,5
1.66
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Total under 2,5
1.66