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Canada vs Iceland prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

Hosts are likely to win
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 26 Mar 2026, 13:36
Canada vs Iceland match prediction on Mar 28, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.51 4.37 6.24
63% 22% 15%
16 TIPS
Tournament Friendly International
Date & kick-off time 28 mar 2026, 13:00

On March 28, 2026, a friendly match will take place between the national teams of Canada and Iceland. The home side will try to beat their sparring partner.

Canada vs Iceland: Team News and Expert Analysis

Canada will be participating in their second consecutive World Cup. Unlike in Qatar, where they qualified through the playoffs, they are now one of the host nations. Therefore, they mainly test their level at the CONCACAF Gold Cup, where last year they topped the group with seven points but suffered a disappointing playoff exit against Guatemala—losing on penalties after a draw. Over the past year, they lost only once in friendlies, to Australia.

Iceland lost twice to Ukraine before the last two "major" tournaments. First, they were defeated without much resistance in the decisive playoff for Euro 2024 qualification. Then, they suffered two more losses in the autumn World Cup qualifiers. As a result, despite drawing with France and victories over Azerbaijan, they finished only third in their group. At the end of winter, they lost 0–4 to Mexico in a friendly!

The future World Cup hosts average one goal scored per match while conceding only 0.2 goals. The islanders average 1.7 goals scored and concede two goals per game.

Past Meetings: Canada vs Iceland

So far, the North American side has yet to win: they have drawn twice and lost twice against Iceland.

It seems Jesse Marsch’s team is ready for success in their head-to-head meeting—expect a Canadian victory (odds – 1.60).

Canada vs Iceland: Key Statistics and Trends

  • Canada has lost only one out of their last fourteen matches in regular time
  • 10% of Canada’s matches end with both teams scoring and the average total goals per match is 1.2
  • Iceland has lost to four of their last six opponents
  • 50% of Iceland’s matches finish with goals from both teams and the average total goals per match is 3.7

Canada vs Iceland: Probable Starting Lineups

Canada’s likely 1-4-4-2 formation: Pantemis – Cornelius, Miller, Priso-Mbongue, Laryea – Nelson, Choinière, Osorio, Jimo – David, Larin. Davies is injured again.

Iceland’s likely 1-5-4-1 formation: Einarsson – Thorarinsson, Kristjansson, Muminovic, Gunnleifsson, Gunnarsson – Gudjonsson, Sigurdsson, Andersson, Thorsteinsson – Atlason. This time, Gudmundsson was not called up.

Follow the friendly match standings and keep track of your team's form before placing your next bet.

Our Pick
Game Prediction Canada to Win
1.6
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Canada to Win
1.6