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Brazil vs Japan prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

Both teams expected to score
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 28 Jun 2026, 17:00
Brazil vs Japan match prediction on Jun 29, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.76 3.82 Linebet 28 Jun 14:00 3.96 -0.09 28 Jun 04:01 3.84 + 0.07 28 Jun 01:01 3.86 -0.05 26 Jun 21:04 3.75 + 0.09 5.4 Linebet 28 Jun 18:00 5.45 -0.05 28 Jun 17:00 5.4 + 0.05 28 Jun 16:00 5.35 + 0.05 28 Jun 15:00 5.29 + 0.06 28 Jun 10:00 5.4 -0.06 28 Jun 04:01 5.48 -0.05 28 Jun 03:01 5.38 + 0.1 28 Jun 02:00 5.43 -0.05 28 Jun 01:01 5.53 -0.1 27 Jun 12:00 5.48 + 0.05 26 Jun 21:04 5.18 + 0.3
56% 26% 18%
35 TIPS
Tournament World Cup
Venue Houston Stadium (Houston)
Date & kick-off time 29 jun 2026, 13:00

In the Round of 16 of the World Cup on June 29, 2026, a match will take place between the national teams of Brazil and Japan. Both sides hope to continue their campaign by advancing to the next round.

Brazil vs Japan: Team News and Expert Analysis

Brazil went through qualifying, having changed their coach a couple of times, and eventually collected 28 points from eighteen games—only Argentina and Ecuador had more. At the World Cup, they started with a draw against Morocco (having to come from behind), then claimed two confident victories. However, their opponents were relatively weak: Haiti and Scotland, both of whom they defeated 3-0.

Japan had no trouble in qualification. They finished first in their group ahead of time and ultimately earned 23 points from ten games. After impressing in friendly matches, they continued their strong form in the tournament’s early games—securing a draw against the Netherlands and thrashing Tunisia. Against Sweden, they settled for a 1-1 draw, which suited both sides in that context.

The South American giants average 2.4 goals scored per match, but also concede a fair amount, about 1-1. Moriyasu's side are a bit more pragmatic: they score an average of two goals per game and concede much less, around 0.7 per match.

Previous Matches: Brazil vs Japan

Last autumn, Kubo and company claimed their first-ever win. Before that, Brazil won seven head-to-head encounters with two draws.

Ancelotti’s men are again considered favorites. However, a neutral bet on "both teams to score" (odds – 1.92) looks reasonable here.

Brazil vs Japan: Key Statistics and Trends

  • Brazil have won five of their last six matches
  • 70% of Brazil’s matches end with goals from both teams and an average total of 3.5 goals per match
  • Japan have drawn two of their last three games
  • 40% of Japan’s matches end with goals from both teams and an average total of 2.7 goals per match

Brazil vs Japan: Probable Starting Lineups

Brazil are expected to line up in a 4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): Alisson - Douglas Santos, Gabriel Magalhães, Marquinhos, Danilo - Lucas Paquetá, Casemiro, Bruno Guimarães - Vinícius Júnior, Matheus Cunha, Ryan Rocha. Neymar finally returned to the pitch, but Raphinha is injured.

Japan are expected to use a 3-4-2-1 formation (possible lineup): Suzuki - Ito, Itakura, Seko - Kamada, Tanaka, Nakamura, Sugawara - Maeda, Doan - Ueda

Place your bets on the upcoming match and follow your team's progress in the World Cup standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Both teams to score - Yes
1.92
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Both teams to score - Yes
1.92