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Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, April 26, 2026

Expecting at least three goals
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 24 Apr 2026, 15:13
Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg match prediction on Apr 26, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.48 5.1 6.38
66% 19% 15%
40 TIPS
Tournament Bundesliga Germany
Date & kick-off time 26 apr 2026, 11:30

In the 31st round of the German Bundesliga 1 on April 26, 2026, Borussia Dortmund will face Freiburg. The visitors need a win, but the hosts always display outstanding motivation at this stadium, regardless of the tournament situation.

Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg: Team News and Expert Analysis

Last season, the Dortmund club snatched fourth place only at the very last moment. That allowed them to play in the Champions League, but after advancing to the playoffs and beating Atalanta 2-0, the Germans still managed to lose due to a heavy defeat in Bergamo. They were eliminated from the cup by Bayer long ago. And in the Bundesliga, there's nothing left to fight for—they will definitely finish second. Still, they remain strong in the spring. On the other hand, motivation seems to be waning, as they've lost not only to Bayer but also to Hoffenheim in recent rounds.

The team from Breisgau was precisely the one pushed aside by Niko Kovač's men in the closing stages of the 2024/2025 season. They had to settle for the Europa League—this time, the Germans reached the quarterfinals, where they overcame Celta, scoring three goals in each match. Domestically, they performed better in the cup, just this week holding Stuttgart to a draw until the 119th minute in the semifinals, but still lost. In the Bundesliga, they can no longer climb above seventh place. However, wins over Mainz and Heidenheim allow them to at least hold onto that spot—just behind Eintracht.

Guirassy and company have been pleasing the fans with their stats, averaging 2.03 goals scored per game and conceding only half as many, just 1.03. Schuster's men have a negative balance: 1.47 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.

Previous matches: Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg

Borussia had a run of seven consecutive wins. But in December, they had to settle for a 1-1 away draw.

The hosts are expected to win, but their opponent is in good form. We'll go with the neutral "over 2.5 goals" (odds – 1.61).

Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg: Key Statistics and Trends

  • Borussia Dortmund have lost twice in a row
  • 53% of Borussia's matches end with both teams scoring, with an average total of 3.07 goals per match
  • Freiburg have won seven of their last nine games
  • 60% of Freiburg's matches end with both teams scoring, with an average total of 3.07 goals per match

Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg: Probable Starting Lineups

Borussia Dortmund play in a 1-3-5-2 formation (probable lineup): Kobel - Bensebaini, Schlotterbeck, Anton - Svensson, Chukwuemeka, Bellingham, Sabitzer, Ryerson - Bayer, Guirassy. Süle, Nmecha, and Can are sidelined with injuries.

Freiburg use a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Atubolu - Makengo, Ogbus, Ginter, Treu - Manzambi, Eggestein - Grifo, Suzuki, Beste - Matanović. Osterhage, Rosenfelder, and Kjær are out injured.

Place your bets on the upcoming match and follow your team’s position in the German Bundesliga 1 standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Total over 2,5
1.61
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Total over 2,5
1.61