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Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on April 11, 2026

The hosts are likely to win
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 10 Apr 2026, 18:30
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen match prediction on Apr 11, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
2.03 3.98 3.68
48% 25% 27%
43 TIPS
Tournament Bundesliga Germany
Date & kick-off time 11 apr 2026, 09:30

In the 29th round of Germany's Bundesliga 1 on April 11, 2026, Borussia Dortmund will host Bayer. The visitors need a win to keep their chances for fourth place alive, but the home side also have their sights set solely on a home win.

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer: Team News and Expert Analysis

The ambitious team from Signal Iduna Park made a poor bet on the coaching potential of their former player, Nuri Şahin. Only a timely replacement with Niko Kovač and a surge at the end of last season allowed them to snatch fourth place. Thus, the Germans played in the Champions League again, although they were knocked out in the first round of the playoffs—despite having beaten Atalanta 2-0 at home. Their cup run ended early too, ironically losing to Bayer on this very field. However, in the Bundesliga, they're confidently in second place, though the gap to Bayern already looks hopeless. Even so, they managed a solid 2-0 win over Stuttgart.

The Leverkusen club, after their "golden double" in 2024, lost ground everywhere—finishing second in the Bundesliga and losing in the cup semifinals to modest Arminia. After Xabi Alonso's departure, ten Hag's tenure was disastrous. Luckily, it was short, and Julmann, who took over in autumn, turned things around. Under him, they reached the cup semifinals, and only Arsenal stopped them in the Champions League. However, they haven’t managed to return to the top four in the Bundesliga, especially since they have barely won since late February. Against Wolfsburg, though, they broke the drought: a 6-3 victory.

The vice-championship contender averages 2.14 goals scored and concedes half as many—one per match. Schick and company are less impressive: 2.07 goals per game for, but 1.39 against.

Previous Matches: Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer

In the last four meetings, both teams have two wins each—all away victories.

The hosts are simply stronger and more stable. We expect them to win (odds – 1.95).

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer: Key Stats and Trends

  • Borussia Dortmund have won four matches in a row
  • 54% of Borussia Dortmund's matches end with goals from both sides, with an average total of 3.14 goals per match
  • Bayer have won only twice in their last ten matches
  • 61% of Bayer's matches end with both teams scoring and the average total goals per match is 3.46

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer: Probable Starting Lineups

Borussia Dortmund play with a 1-3-3-2-2 setup (probable lineup): Kobel - Schlotterbeck, Anton, Reggiani - Svensson, Nmecha, Bellingham - Sabitzer, Ryerson, Adeyemi, Bayer. Can and Mané are injured.

Bayer play with a 1-4-1-4-1 formation (probable lineup): Flekken - Grimaldo, Quansah, Andrich, Calbret - Garcia, Palacios - Poku, Tillman, Maza - Schick. Terje, Lucas Vázquez and Arthur are unavailable.

Place a bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's performance in the Bundesliga 1 Germany standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Borussia Dortmund to Win
1.95
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Borussia Dortmund to Win
1.95