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Bologna vs Cagliari prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, May 3, 2026

The match is unlikely to see many goals
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 30 Apr 2026, 13:14
Bologna vs Cagliari match prediction on May 03, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
2.27 3.22 3.78
43% 31% 26%
45 TIPS
Tournament Serie A Italy
Date & kick-off time 03 may 2026, 06:30

In the 35th round of the Italian Serie A, Bologna will face Cagliari on May 3, 2026. Neither team has significant tournament objectives left, but the hosts will try to use their strengths to please their fans.

Bologna vs Cagliari: Team News and Expert Analysis

The club from "Renato Dall'Ara" returned to mid-table status in Serie A last season, despite an unsuccessful run in the Champions League. However, they did win the cup, which secured them a spot in the Europa League. There, the Italians reached the quarterfinals but were soundly beaten by Aston Villa. Domestically, they haven't shown much improvement compared to 2024/2025, although they finally managed to win enough matches in the spring. Still, they suffered defeats against both Juventus and Roma, the latter their most recent opponent.

The Sardinian team finished safely in fifteenth place with 36 points. This season, they haven't been impressive either and endured four consecutive defeats in the spring—but managed a 1-0 win over Cremonese, widening the gap from relegation rivals. Moreover, they beat Atalanta in the most recent round.

Orsolini and company average 1.24 goals scored per match, conceding 1.21. The islanders' stats are significantly worse: 1.06 goals scored and a third more conceded, 1.44 per game.

Previous Meetings: Bologna vs Cagliari

Bologna have won five of the last six encounters, including the last three in a row, suffering just one defeat.

The hosts are clear favorites in this fixture. However, as both teams are merely finishing the season, a bet on "total under 2.5 goals" (odds – 1.7) seems reasonable.

Bologna vs Cagliari: Key Statistics and Trends

  • Bologna have won four of their last five matches
  • 44% of Bologna's matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 2.44
  • Cagliari have lost seven of their last eleven matches
  • 50% of Cagliari's matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 2.5

Bologna vs Cagliari: Probable Starting Lineups

Bologna are expected to play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Pessina - Miranda, Lucumí, Casale, João Mário - Freuler, Moro - Cambiaghi, Zomm, Orsolini - Castro. Skorupski, Dallingha, Bernardeschi, and Casale are out of the squad.

Cagliari are also expected to line up in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Caprile - Obert, Camejo, Mina, Palestra - Gaetano, Mazzitelli - Folorunsho, Deiola, Esposito - Borrelli. Idrissi, Felici, and Pavoletti are injured.

Follow the Italian Serie A standings and check your team's form before placing a bet on the next match.

Our Pick
Game Prediction Total under 2,5
1.7
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Total under 2,5
1.7