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Bayer vs St. Pauli Prediction: match preview, predicted lineups, tips & odds on February 3, 2026

The hosts are expected to win confidently
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 01 Feb 2026, 10:30
Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli match prediction on Feb 03, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.57 4.42 6.65
63% 22% 15%
40 TIPS
Tournament Bundesliga Germany
Date & kick-off time 03 feb 2026, 14:45

In the quarterfinals of the German Cup on February 3, 2026, Bayer will take on St. Pauli. For the visitors, this tournament clearly isn't a priority given their dire situation in the Bundesliga.

Our prediction for Bayer vs St. Pauli

In Leverkusen, Xabi Alonso, after achieving the "golden double" in 2024, finished his tenure with a second place in the Bundesliga. But the Spaniard left in the summer, and the decision to bring in ten Hag as his replacement clearly missed the mark. The situation is now being corrected by Julmand. In the Champions League, the Germans finished with a win over Villarreal and advanced to the playoffs. Meanwhile, domestically, they are fighting for a top-four spot—though their chances diminished after a poor start to 2026. It was all the more important to beat their recent opponents, Werder and Eintracht.

The Hamburg side, after a long absence, managed to earn promotion to the top flight two seasons ago. Collecting 32 points, they finished as high as fourteenth in that campaign! But now they are rock-bottom outsiders with a dismal record, languishing at the foot of the table. Following draws with Hamburg and RB Leipzig, they also lost to Augsburg.

In the cup, the runners-up scored four goals each against Sonnenhof Großaspach and Paderborn. They then eliminated Borussia, narrowly beating them in Dortmund. Blessin's men have shown character, knocking out Eintracht Norderstedt and Hoffenheim on penalties after draws. In Mönchengladbach, they snatched a 2-1 win with a goal in the 83rd minute.

Bayer vs St. Pauli: Key Statistics and Trends

  • Bayer have won three matches in a row
  • On average, Bayer scores two goals and concedes 1.37 goals per match
  • 58% of Bayer's matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 3.37.
  • St. Pauli have lost three of their last five matches
  • On average, St. Pauli scores 0.9 goals and concedes 1.7 goals per match
  • 55% of St. Pauli's matches end with both teams scoring and the average total goals per match is 2.6

Bayer vs St. Pauli: Possible Starting Lineups

Bayer (probable lineup): Flekken – Quansah, Bade, Andrich – Grimaldo, Poku, Tillman, Aleix García, Fernandez, Arthur – Schick

St. Pauli (probable lineup): Vasilj – Mets, Wahl, Dzwigala – Ritzka, Pereira Lage, Fujita, Smith, Sands, Pyrka – Cars

Previous Matches: Bayer vs St. Pauli

In the last five official encounters, Bayer has won four times and there was one draw.

Free Prediction for Bayer vs St. Pauli

All the advantages are with the hosts. Bet on their win in regular time (odds – 1.60).

Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's performance in the German Cup standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Bayer Leverkusen to Win
1.6
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 47
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.72
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Bayer Leverkusen to Win
1.6