Bahia vs Chapecoense prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, July 18, 2026
Serie A Brazil
In the 4th round of the Brazilian Serie A on July 18, 2026, Bahia will face Chapecoense. The main outsider must be beaten at home.
Bahia vs Chapecoense: Team News and Expert Analysis
The Salvador club earned exactly 60 points in 2025, which was enough to finish in seventh place. They even qualified for the Copa Libertadores but lost in the qualifiers to their first opponent, O'Higgins. Domestically, after a decent start, they went through a long stretch of poor results, only winning their last match 2-1 against Botafogo.
The team from Santa Catarina finished third in Serie B last season. However, after returning to the top division, they have been clearly the worst. So far, only one win and nine points—almost half as many as the nearest teams above them.
Willian José and company score an average of 1.47 goals per game, conceding slightly less—1.35 per match. For the newcomer, things look bleak: for every goal scored, they concede 1.94.
Previous Matches: Bahia vs Chapecoense
Both most recent encounters, in 2022, were won by the Chapeco team.
Against the main outsider, especially at home, maximum points must be taken. We believe the hosts will manage this even with a -1 goal handicap (odds – 1.65).
Bahia vs Chapecoense: Key Statistics and Trends
- Bahia won for the first time in nine matches
- 71% of Bahia's matches end with goals from both teams and the average total goals per match is 2.82
- Chapecoense lost ten out of their last thirteen matches
- 65% of Chapecoense's matches end with goals from both teams and the average total goals per match is 2.94
Bahia vs Chapecoense: Probable Starting Lineups
Bahia plays in a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): Ronaldo Strada – Ze Guilherme, Ramos, David, Gilberto, Rodrigo Nestor – Caio Alexandre, Eric, Oliveira – Willian José, Eric Pulga
Chapecoense plays in a 1-4-4-1-1 formation (possible lineup): Anderson – Bruno Pacheco, Joao Paulo, Bruno Leonardo, Everton – Giovanni Augusto, Marcinho, Camilo, Enio – Rafael Carvalheira – Bolasie
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