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Athletic Club vs Atlético Madrid prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on September 5, 2026

The visitors may once again beat
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 04 Sep 2026, 17:00
Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid match prediction on Sep 05, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
3.21 Linebet 03 Sep 20:04 3.14 + 0.07 02 Sep 20:03 2.96 + 0.17 30 Aug 20:03 2.78 + 0.13 3.51 Linebet 04 Sep 08:03 3.56 -0.06 04 Sep 08:02 3.5 + 0.07 04 Sep 03:02 3.56 -0.06 02 Sep 20:03 3.58 -0.06 31 Aug 20:03 3.64 -0.08 2.39 Linebet 02 Sep 20:03 2.52 -0.09 30 Aug 20:03 2.63 -0.11
31% 28% 41%
32 TIPS
Tournament LaLiga Spain
Venue San Mames (Bilbao)
Date & kick-off time 05 sep 2026, 10:15

In the 4th round of La Liga, Athletic Club will face Atlético Madrid on September 5, 2026. This is always a fiercely contested rivalry, regardless of how the two sides are performing that season.

Athletic Club vs Atlético Madrid team news and expert analysis

The Bilbao club endured a disappointing campaign last season after a couple of successful years under Valverde, first failing to reach the Champions League play-offs and then finishing only 12th in La Liga. It came as no surprise that Ernesto had announced his departure in advance. Terzić replaced him but began his career in Spanish football with a home defeat to Sevilla. They subsequently suffered an expected loss to Barcelona. However, they beat Celta in the previous round, securing a convincing 2-0 victory.

The Madrid giants once again finished only fourth in La Liga in the spring, this time falling behind not only Barcelona and Real Madrid but also Villarreal. They managed to eliminate the Catalans in the play-offs, but Real Sociedad proved stronger in the Copa del Rey final, while the Spanish side were knocked out by their opponents in the Champions League semi-finals. Simeone's men eventually overcame Málaga late in the game, securing a 2-0 victory. They then drew at home with Villarreal. In Seville, against the side of the same name, they once again made the most of their opportunities, winning 3-1.

The Basques are currently averaging just one goal scored per game while conceding 1.67. The Madrid stars are averaging 2.33 goals scored and one conceded.

Head to Head matches: Athletic Club vs Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid have won four of their last five meetings, although they suffered a 0-4 defeat at San Mamés in December last year.

The visitors are understandably receiving more backing at the moment. However, we are taking their away win with a 0 handicap (odds – 1.66).

Athletic Club vs Atlético Madrid: key statistics and trends

  • Athletic Club have won after two consecutive defeats
  • 33% of Athletic Bilbao's matches have featured goals from both teams, with an average total of 2.67 goals per game
  • Atlético Madrid have won two of their last three matches
  • 67% of Atlético Madrid's matches have featured goals from both teams, with an average total of 3.33 goals per game

Athletic Club vs Atlético Madrid: Possible starting lineups

Athletic Club are expected to play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): Simón - Berchiche, Paredes, Alvarez, Areso - Canales, Herrenabarrena - Berenguer, Sancet, Williams - Guruzeta

Atlético Madrid are expected to play in a 1-4-4-2 formation (possible lineup): Oblak - Grimaldo, Hancko, Le Normand, Pubill - Mendoza, Yulmand, Koke, Simeone - Lee Kang-in, Lookman

Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow your team's progress in the La Liga standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction W2(0)
1.66
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W2(0)
1.66