Primeira Liga Portugal
Round 3
Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Nacional
Vitoria de Guimaraes
17 place
23 aug 2026, 10:30
1
:
0
Correct score 1:0
Win Rate
8%
The most likely outcome according to the mathematical prediction
Nacional
5 place
Vitoria de Guimaraes VS Nacional Math predictions
Full-time result
Home
55%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.89
Away
20%
4.89
W1
Result:
1
Win Rate
64%
The probability of 1.76 odds implies 55% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 64% of the last 11 games with similar odds.
1.76
Both teams to score
Yes
51%
1.83
No
49%
1.87
BTTS: Yes
BTTS:
YES
Win Rate
37%
The probability of 1.83 odds implies 51% chance of success, but it only happened in 37% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
1.83
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Under 2.5
50%
1.94
O/U: Over 2.5
Total Goals:
Over
Win Rate
40%
The probability of 1.95 odds implies 50% chance of success, but it only happened in 40% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
1.95
Double Chance
1/X
80%
1.2
1/2
75%
1.28
X/2
45%
2.14
W1 or Draw
Double chance:
1/X
Win Rate
69%
The probability of 1.2 odds implies 80% chance of success, but it only happened in 69% of the last 13 games with similar odds.
1.2
Correct Score
Chance
Odds
Correct Score
Correct Score:
1:0
Win Rate
8%
The probability of 6.5 odds implies 8% chance of success, and these expectations were fulfilled in 8% of the recent 15 games with similar odds.
6.5
Bet Builder Tips for Vitoria de Guimaraes VS Nacional
Asian Handicap: 2 -1.25
Asian Handicap:
2 -1.25
Win Rate
100%
The probability of 1.47 odds implies 64% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 100% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.47
Chance
64%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1xbet | $14.71 | 1.47 | 93% | |
|
Afropari | $14.3 | 1.43 | 89% |
Clean Sheet: Away Team - No
Clean Sheet:
Away Team - No
Win Rate
93%
The probability of 1.16 odds implies 81% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 93% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.16
Chance
81%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Bet365 | $11.6 | 1.16 | 94% |
Corners: Under 13.5
Corners:
Under 13.5
Win Rate
90%
The probability of 1.11 odds implies 79% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 90% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.11
Chance
79%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1xbet | $11.1 | 1.11 | 86% |
O/U Away Team: Under 1.25
O/U Away Team:
Under 1.25
Win Rate
87%
The probability of 1.35 odds implies 70% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 87% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.35
Chance
70%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1xbet | $13.5 | 1.35 | 94% | |
|
|
Afropari | $13.2 | 1.32 | 89% |
Asian Handicap: 2 -1.5
Asian Handicap:
2 -1.5
Win Rate
83%
The probability of 1.38 odds implies 66% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 83% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.38
Chance
66%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1win | $13.8 | 1.38 | 91% | |
|
|
1xbet | $13.74 | 1.37 | 97% | |
|
|
Afropari | $13.3 | 1.33 | 89% |
Stats Trends & Facts
- All
- Match Result
- Goals
- Cards
- Corners
Loosing
5 games
100%
Vitoria de Guimaraes lost all of their last 5 Primeira Liga Portugal matches.
Match Result - Vitoria de Guimaraes likely to lose
4.5
2.47 Goals per Game
19 games
100%
All of Nacional’s last 19 Primeira Liga Portugal matches had under 4.5 goals.
Total Goals Under (4.5)
1.1
2.47 Goals per Game
34 games
91%
There have been under 4.5 goals scored in 31 of the last 34 Nacional Primeira Liga Portugal games.
Total Goals Under (4.5)
1.1
Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Nacional Betting statistics
All leagues
Primeira Liga Portugal
10
Played
10
Played
100 %
Over 0.5 goals
90 %
70 %
Over 1.5 goals
90 %
30 %
Over 2.5 goals
30 %
30 %
Over 3.5 goals
20 %
20 %
Over 4.5 goals
10 %
40 %
Over 1.5 goals in 1st period
50 %
0 %
Goals scored in both halves
0 %
10 %
Goals conceded in both halves
20 %
Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Nacional Compare odds
United States| BM | Bonuses | 1 | X | 2 | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Bonus
1xBet Promo Code 2026
|
1.76
|
3.89
1xbet
22 Aug 06:05
3.95
-0.07
|
4.89
1xbet
22 Aug 10:04
4.84
+ 0.05
22 Aug 07:04
4.73
+ 0.11
22 Aug 06:05
4.78
-0.05
21 Aug 23:06
4.84
-0.06
21 Aug 22:05
4.78
+ 0.06
21 Aug 21:09
4.84
-0.06
21 Aug 20:03
4.78
+ 0.06
21 Aug 12:00
4.84
-0.06
21 Aug 04:01
4.78
+ 0.06
20 Aug 08:01
4.84
-0.06
19 Aug 20:03
4.78
+ 0.06
|
97%
|
|
Bonus
Melbet Promo Code
|
1.72
|
3.86
|
4.68
|
95%
|
|
2.2
|
2.3
Betway
19 Aug 21:04
2.25
+ 0.05
|
4.75
Betway
22 Aug 13:03
5
-0.25
22 Aug 11:03
4.75
+ 0.25
21 Aug 21:09
4.5
+ 0.25
|
91%
|
|
|
|
Bonus
15% of your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits up to 60 $
|
1.7
Bet365
18 Aug 20:03
1.8
-0.1
|
3.6
Bet365
20 Aug 08:01
3.7
-0.1
18 Aug 20:03
3.5
+ 0.2
|
5
Bet365
18 Aug 20:03
4.5
+ 0.5
|
94%
|
|
|
Bonus
1Win Promo Code
|
1.68
|
3.75
1win
22 Aug 02:03
3.7
+ 0.05
|
5.1
|
95%
|
|
|
Bonus
Afropari Promo Code 2026
|
2.14
|
2.23
|
4.8
|
88%
|
|
|
Bonus
BetWinner Promo Code
|
1.73
|
3.6
|
4.5
|
93%
|
| Average | 1.85 | 3.32 | 4.82 |
94%
|
|
| Highest | 2.2 | 3.89 | 5.1 |
97%
|
Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Nacional Lineups
Lineups not confirmed
4-2-3-1
Tiago Margarido
Team manager
3-4-3
Joao Giao
Team manager
48
Zych
2
Maga
4
Rivas
28
Balieiro
13
Mendes
8
Nogueira
16
Beni
7
Camara
20
Samu
11
Silva
24
Ndoye
1
Marin
34
Santos
6
Dias
38
Vitor
52
Wesley
28
Liziero
22
Soares
7
Jensen
8
Baeza
99
Ruan
10
Daniel
Lineups
48
Oliwier Zych
Goalkeeper
2
Maga
Right back
4
Oscar Rivas
Сenter defender
28
Thiago Balieiro
Сenter defender
13
Joao Mendes
Left back
8
Goncalo Nogueira
Center midfielder
16
Beni
Center midfielder
7
Oumar Camara
Right midfielder
20
Samu
Center midfielder
11
Gustavo Silva
Left midfielder
24
Alioune Ndoye
Сenter forward
1
Renato Marin
Goalkeeper
34
Leonardo Santos
Right back
6
Matheus Dias
Сenter defender
38
Ze Vitor
Left back
52
Wesley
Right midfielder
28
Liziero
Center midfielder
22
Filipe Soares
Center midfielder
7
Markus Gustav Jensen
Left midfielder
8
Miguel Baeza
Right forward
99
Pablo Ruan
Сenter forward
10
Daniel
Left forward
Missing players
4
Ulisses Rocha
Injured
Players to watch
Primeira Liga Portugal 2026/2027
Goal Getters
Samu
1 goals
1 goals
Ze Vitor
1 goals
1 goals
Leonardo Santos
1 goals
1 goals
Liziero
1 goals
1 goals
Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Nacional Head to Head History
Recent H2H Games - 10
5
wins
50%
2
draws
20%
3
wins
30%
Over 1.5
80%
8/10
Over 2.5
70%
7/10
Over 3.5
30%
3/10
BTTS
70%
7/10
Clean Sheets
0%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Clean Sheets
30%
Nacional
16.05.26 FT
Primeira Liga Portugal
Nacional
Vitoria de Guimaraes
2
0
02.01.26 FT
Primeira Liga Portugal
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
2
1
03.05.25 FT
Primeira Liga Portugal
Nacional
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1
2
23.12.24 FT
Primeira Liga Portugal
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
2
2
26.04.21 FT
Primeira Liga Portugal
Nacional
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1
0
Last matches - Vitoria de Guimaraes
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
3
wins
30%
2
draws
20%
5
losses
50%
Avg Goals Scored
1.1
Avg Goals Conceded
1.5
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
2.1
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
3.5
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
50%
14.08.26 FT
Primeira Liga Portugal
Sporting CP
Vitoria de Guimaraes
3
2
08.08.26 FT
Primeira Liga Portugal
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0
Arouca
1
26.07.26 FT
Club Friendlies
Nottingham Forest
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1
1
24.07.26 FT
Club Friendlies
Al Ahli
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1
3
16.05.26 FT
Primeira Liga Portugal
Nacional
Vitoria de Guimaraes
2
0
Last matches - Nacional
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
3
wins
30%
4
draws
40%
3
losses
30%
Avg Goals Scored
1.3
Avg Goals Conceded
1.2
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
1.5
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
3.3
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
40%
16.08.26 FT
Primeira Liga Portugal
Nacional
2
Estoril
0
10.08.26 FT
Primeira Liga Portugal
Santa Clara
Nacional
2
2
23.07.26 FT
Club Friendlies
Estrela da Amadora
Nacional
2
0
22.07.26 FT
Club Friendlies
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
19.07.26 FT
Club Friendlies
Tondela
Nacional
1
1
Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Nacional standings
Primeira Liga Portugal Table| № | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pt |
| 1 | Maritimo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Benfica | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 4 |
| 5 |
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 6 | Sporting CP | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 7 | Santa Clara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Rio Ave | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 10 | Estrela da Amadora | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 11 | Academico Viseu | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 12 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 14 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 15 | Moreirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 17 |
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 18 | Casa Pia AC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | 0 |
Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Nacional form comparison
Teams Season Stats (Current League)
Popular upcoming Primeira Liga Portugal matches
Primeira Liga Portugal Fixtures
23.08.26 13:00
-
-
1
35%
X
32%
2
33%
Prediction
23.08.26 15:30
-
-
1
81%
X
13%
2
6%
Prediction
24.08.26 15:15
-
-
1
54%
X
27%
2
19%
Prediction