World Cup
Round 1/16
Mexico vs Ecuador
Mexico
30 jun 2026, 21:00
1
:
0
Correct score 1:0
Win Rate
9%
The most likely outcome according to the mathematical prediction
Ecuador
Mexico VS Ecuador Math predictions
Bet Builder Tips for Mexico VS Ecuador
O/U Home team: Under 1.25
O/U Home team:
Under 1.25
Win Rate
100%
The probability of 1.78 odds implies 54% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 100% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.78
Chance
54%
| BM |
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1xbet | $17.8 | 1.78 | 95% | Visit |
O/U Away Team: Under 1.5
O/U Away Team:
Under 1.5
Win Rate
95%
The probability of 1.21 odds implies 78% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 95% of the last 22 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.21
Chance
78%
| BM |
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Odds | Payout | ||
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1xbet | $12.1 | 1.21 | 94% | Visit |
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Betway | $12 | 1.2 | 93% |
O/U Away Team: Under 1.25
O/U Away Team:
Under 1.25
Win Rate
93%
The probability of 1.3 odds implies 73% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 93% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.3
Chance
73%
| BM |
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1xbet | $13 | 1.3 | 95% | Visit |
O/U Home team: Over 0.75
O/U Home team:
Over 0.75
Win Rate
88%
The probability of 1.42 odds implies 67% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 88% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.42
Chance
67%
| BM |
$1 Return
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Odds | Payout | ||
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1xbet | $14.2 | 1.42 | 95% | Visit |
O/U Home team: Under 1.5
O/U Home team:
Under 1.5
Win Rate
88%
The probability of 1.58 odds implies 60% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 88% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.58
Chance
60%
| BM |
$1 Return
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Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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1xbet | $15.8 | 1.58 | 95% | Visit |
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Betway | $15.33 | 1.53 | 91% |
Fixture Analysis
Match Overview
Mexico face Ecuador in the World Cup 2026 round of 16 at Mexico City Stadium, with Mexico as the designated home team. Mexico arrive after a perfect group phase (2 wins, 3–0 goal difference), while Ecuador’s defensive trends suggest a ...
Stats Trends & Facts
Match Result
Winning
6 games
100%
Mexico won all of their last 6 matches.
Unbeaten
11 games
100%
Mexico are unbeaten in their last 11 matches.
Unbeaten
27 games
89%
Mexico remained unbeaten in 24 of their 27 most recent matches.
Mexico vs Ecuador Betting statistics
All leagues
World Cup
11
Played
10
Played
91 %
Over 0.5 goals
80 %
55 %
Over 1.5 goals
70 %
27 %
Over 2.5 goals
30 %
18 %
Over 3.5 goals
0 %
9 %
Over 4.5 goals
0 %
18 %
Over 1.5 goals in 1st period
30 %
36 %
Goals scored in both halves
30 %
0 %
Goals conceded in both halves
0 %
Mexico vs Ecuador Compare odds
United States| BM | Bonuses | 1 | X | 2 | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Bonus 1xBet Promo Code 2026 | 2.23 1xbet 28 Jun 08:00 2.1 + 0.13 | 3.17 1xbet 28 Jun 08:00 3.37 -0.2 | 3.94 1xbet 28 Jun 08:00 4.11 -0.17 |
99%
|
|
|
Bonus Melbet Promo Code | 2.2 | 3.02 | 3.72 |
95%
|
| Betway | 2.75 | 1.95 | 4.5 |
91%
|
|
|
|
Bonus 15% of your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits up to 60 $ | 2.2 | 3 | 3.75 |
95%
|
|
|
Bonus Afropari Promo Code 2026 | 2.04 | 3.17 | 4.1 |
96%
|
|
|
Bonus BetWinner Promo Code | 2.15 | 2.9 | 3.7 |
92%
|
| Average | 2.26 | 2.87 | 3.95 |
95%
|
|
| Highest | 2.75 | 3.17 | 4.5 |
99%
|
Players to watch
World Cup 2026
Goal Getters
Mateo Chavez
1 goals
Luis Romo
1 goals
Raul Jimenez
1 goals
Alvaro Fidalgo
1 goals
Nilson Angulo
1 goals
Mexico vs Ecuador Head to Head History
Recent H2H Games - 10
3
wins
30%
4
draws
40%
3
wins
30%
Over 1.5
70%
7/10
Over 2.5
50%
5/10
Over 3.5
30%
3/10
BTTS
70%
7/10
Clean Sheets
30%
Mexico
Clean Sheets
20%
Ecuador
14 Oct 2025
22:30
Friendly International
Mexico
Ecuador
1
1
30 Jun 2024
20:00
Copa America
Mexico
Ecuador
0
0
05 Jun 2022
19:35
Friendly International
Mexico
Ecuador
0
0
27 Oct 2021
21:00
Friendly International
Mexico
Ecuador
2
3
09 Jun 2019
19:30
Friendly International
Mexico
Ecuador
3
2
Last matches - Mexico
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
8
wins
80%
2
draws
20%
0
lost
0%
Avg Goals Scored
2
Avg Goals Conceded
0.2
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
1.1
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
3.5
Clean Sheets
80%
BTTS
20%
24 Jun 2026
21:00
World Cup
Czechia
Mexico
0
3
18 Jun 2026
21:00
World Cup
Mexico
South Korea
1
0
11 Jun 2026
15:00
World Cup
Mexico
South Africa
2
0
04 Jun 2026
22:00
Friendly International
Mexico
Serbia
5
1
30 May 2026
22:00
Friendly International
Mexico
Australia
1
0
Last matches - Ecuador
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
4
wins
40%
5
draws
50%
1
loss
10%
Avg Goals Scored
1.2
Avg Goals Conceded
0.6
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
1.9
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
5.1
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
50%
25 Jun 2026
16:00
World Cup
Ecuador
Germany
2
1
20 Jun 2026
20:00
World Cup
Ecuador
Curacao
0
0
14 Jun 2026
19:00
World Cup
Ivory Coast
Ecuador
1
0
07 Jun 2026
16:15
Friendly International
Ecuador
Guatemala
3
0
30 May 2026
20:00
Friendly International
Ecuador
Saudi Arabia
2
1
Teams Season Stats (Current League)
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Prediction