Europa League Round 1

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia

Derry City

16 jul 2026, 13:30

0 : 1

Predicted

Correct score 0:1 Win Rate

6%

The most likely outcome according to the mathematical prediction

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CSKA Sofia

Predictions Odds Stats Additional

Derry City VS CSKA Sofia Math predictions

Full-time result

Home

29%

3.24

Draw

25%

3.72

Away

46%

2.04

W2

Win rate 40%

Result: 2 Win Rate

40%

The probability of 2.04 odds implies 46% chance of success, but it only happened in 40% of the last 5 games with similar odds.

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2.04

Both teams to score

Yes

54%

1.72

No

46%

2.01

BTTS: Yes

Win rate 43%

BTTS: YES Win Rate

43%

The probability of 1.72 odds implies 54% chance of success, but it only happened in 43% of the last 30 games with similar odds.

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1.72

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

15%

6.15

Under 2.5

85%

1.06

O/U: Under 2.5

Win rate 90%

Total Goals: Under Win Rate

90%

The probability of 1.06 odds implies 85% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 90% of the last 30 games with similar odds.

Close

1.06

Double Chance

1/X

54%

1.74

1/2

75%

1.25

X/2

71%

1.31

W1 or W2

Win rate 67%

Double chance: 1/2 Win Rate

67%

The probability of 1.25 odds implies 75% chance of success, but it only happened in 67% of the last 30 games with similar odds.

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1.25

Correct Score

Chance Odds

1:1

6%

7

0:1

6%

7.5

1:2

5%

8

0:2

5%

9

1:0

4%

11

Correct Score

Win rate 6%

Correct Score: 1:1 Win Rate

6%

The probability of 7 odds implies 6% chance of success, and these expectations were fulfilled in 6% of the recent 15 games with similar odds.

Close

7

Expert tip

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on July 16, 2026

In the Europa League qualification round of 16 on July 16, 2026, the second leg between Derry City and CSKA Sofia will...

Both teams to score - Yes

1.72

Bet Now ➔

Bet Builder Tips for Derry City VS CSKA Sofia

Safe Bets Best Value Bets Crazy Bets

Asian Handicap: 1 +0.75

Win rate 100%

Asian Handicap: 1 +0.75 Win Rate

100%

The probability of 1.52 odds implies 60% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 100% of the last 15 games with similar odds.

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Odds 1.52

Chance 60%

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BM		$10 Return $1 Return $2 Return $5 Return $10 Return $15 Return $20 Return	Odds	Payout
	1xbet	$15.2	1.52	90%	Visit
	Afropari	$15	1.5	89%	Visit

Handicap: 1 +2

Win rate 100%

Handicap: 1 +2 Win Rate

100%

The probability of 1.24 odds implies 71% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 100% of the last 15 games with similar odds.

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Odds 1.24

Chance 71%

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BM		$10 Return $1 Return $2 Return $5 Return $10 Return $15 Return $20 Return	Odds	Payout
	1win	$12.4	1.24	87%	Visit

Asian Handicap: 2 -0.5

Win rate 92%

Asian Handicap: 2 -0.5 Win Rate

92%

The probability of 1.35 odds implies 67% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 92% of the last 15 games with similar odds.

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Odds 1.35

Chance 67%

See Offers

BM		$10 Return $1 Return $2 Return $5 Return $10 Return $15 Return $20 Return	Odds	Payout
	Afropari	$13.5	1.35	90%	Visit
	1win	$13	1.3	91%	Visit

O/U Home team: Under 2.5

Win rate 90%

O/U Home team: Under 2.5 Win Rate

90%

The probability of 1.08 odds implies 87% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 90% of the last 30 games with similar odds.

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Odds 1.08

Chance 87%

See Offers

BM		$10 Return $1 Return $2 Return $5 Return $10 Return $15 Return $20 Return	Odds	Payout
	Betway	$10.83	1.08	93%	Visit
	1xbet	$10.6	1.06	92%	Visit

O/U Away Team: Under 1.5

Win rate 86%

O/U Away Team: Under 1.5 Win Rate

86%

The probability of 1.74 odds implies 54% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 86% of the last 16 games with similar odds.

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Odds 1.74

Chance 54%

See Offers

BM		$10 Return $1 Return $2 Return $5 Return $10 Return $15 Return $20 Return	Odds	Payout
	1xbet	$17.4	1.74	94%	Visit
	1win	$17.4	1.74	92%	Visit
	Betway	$17	1.7	92%	Visit
	Afropari	$16.5	1.65	89%	Visit

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Fixture Analysis

Match Overview

Derry City host CSKA Sofia at Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium in the Europa League first qualifying round, second leg. CSKA lead 3:2 from the home leg, so Derry must win while the visitors can progress with a draw or even a narrow one-...

Read AI Game Analysis

Stats Trends & Facts

Match Result

Winless

5 games 80%

Derry City has not won in 4 of their 5 most recent matches.

Match Result - Derry City most likely will not win

1.3

Unbeaten

38 games 82%

CSKA Sofia have not lost in 31 out of their last 38 games.

Match Result - CSKA Sofia mostly likely will not lose

1.3

Goals

Team Goals Under

12 games 83%

In 10 of the last 12 games, CSKA Sofia has scored less than 1.5 times.

Team Goals - CSKA Sofia Under (1.5)

1.74

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Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Betting statistics

All leagues

No matches found

All leagues

Europa League

Average Team Stats - all Leagues

Goals BTTS Corners Cards

All H2H

Derry City

26 Played

10 Played

CSKA Sofia

85 %
Over 0.5 goals
90 %
69 %
Over 1.5 goals
60 %
54 %
Over 2.5 goals
30 %
31 %
Over 3.5 goals
20 %
15 %
Over 4.5 goals
10 %
15 %
Over 1.5 goals in 1st period
20 %
23 %
Goals scored in both halves
10 %
31 %
Goals conceded in both halves
30 %
65 %
Total %
50 %
80 %
Last 5
60 %
62 %
Home BTTS %
60 %
69 %
Away BTTS %
40 %
54 %
Over 2.5 goals
30 %
15 %
BTTS first period
20 %
15 %
BTTS and Win
20 %
23 %
BTTS and Lose
10 %
8 %
Won-To-Nil
20 %
12 %
Lost-To-Nil
20 %
15 %
Scoreless
10 %
50 %
Over 9.5
50 %
38 %
Over 10.5
50 %
27 %
Over 11.5
40 %
12 %
Over 12.5
30 %
4 %
Over 13.5
20 %
88 %
Over 2.5
80 %
69 %
Over 3.5
70 %
46 %
Over 4.5
70 %
31 %
Over 5.5
50 %
23 %
Over 6.5
30 %

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Compare odds

United States

Result Asian Handicap BTTS Corners Correct Score Double chance HT/FT Total Goals O/U Away Team O/U Home team Result / Total goals

Full time

BM	Bonuses	1	X	2	Payout
1xbet	Bonus 1xBet Promo Code 2026	3.24 1xbet 14 Jul 12:00 3.08 + 0.16 13 Jul 20:00 3.8 -0.72 13 Jul 08:00 3.63 + 0.17 12 Jul 20:01 3 + 0.62 11 Jul 20:00 3.63 -0.63	3.72 1xbet 14 Jul 04:00 3.84 -0.12 13 Jul 08:00 3.76 + 0.12 11 Jul 20:00 3.84 -0.09	2.04 1xbet 14 Jul 12:00 2.11 -0.07 13 Jul 20:00 1.83 + 0.24 13 Jul 08:00 1.9 -0.07 12 Jul 20:01 2.14 -0.23 11 Jul 20:00 1.88 + 0.26	94%
Melbet	Bonus Melbet Promo Code	3.24 Melbet 14 Jul 12:00 3.05 + 0.19 13 Jul 20:00 3.8 -0.72 13 Jul 08:00 3.63 + 0.17 12 Jul 20:01 2.99 + 0.64 11 Jul 20:00 3.63 -0.64	3.72 Melbet 14 Jul 12:00 3.8 -0.08 13 Jul 08:00 3.76 + 0.12 11 Jul 20:00 3.84 -0.09	2.04 Melbet 14 Jul 12:00 2.1 -0.06 13 Jul 20:00 1.83 + 0.24 13 Jul 08:00 1.9 -0.07 12 Jul 20:01 2.14 -0.24 11 Jul 20:00 1.88 + 0.26	94%
Bet365	Bonus 15% of your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits up to 60 $	3.3 Bet365 13 Jul 20:00 3.9 -0.6 13 Jul 08:00 3.7 + 0.2 12 Jul 20:01 3.2 + 0.5 11 Jul 20:00 3.7 -0.5	3.5 Bet365 13 Jul 20:00 3.7 -0.2 13 Jul 08:00 3.6 + 0.1 12 Jul 20:01 3.5 + 0.1	1.95 Bet365 13 Jul 20:00 1.75 + 0.2 13 Jul 08:00 1.83 -0.08 12 Jul 20:01 2.05 -0.22 11 Jul 20:00 1.85 + 0.2	90%
Betway		2.9 Betway 13 Jul 21:00 3.4 -0.5 12 Jul 21:00 2.8 + 0.6 11 Jul 21:01 3.1 -0.3	3.8	2 Betway 13 Jul 21:00 1.8 + 0.2 12 Jul 21:00 2 -0.2 11 Jul 21:01 1.85 + 0.15	90%
1win	Bonus 1Win Promo Code	3.3 1win 13 Jul 20:00 3.65 -0.35	3.8 1win 13 Jul 20:00 3.9 -0.1	1.96 1win 13 Jul 20:00 1.84 + 0.12	93%
Afropari	Bonus Afropari Promo Code 2026	2.82 Afropari 13 Jul 21:00 3.37 -0.55 12 Jul 21:00 2.75 + 0.62 11 Jul 21:01 3.07 -0.32	3.63 Afropari 13 Jul 21:00 3.55 + 0.08 12 Jul 21:00 3.69 -0.14 11 Jul 21:01 3.75 -0.06	2 Afropari 13 Jul 21:00 1.81 + 0.19 12 Jul 21:00 2.02 -0.21 11 Jul 21:01 1.86 + 0.16	87%
Betwinner	Bonus BetWinner Promo Code	3.25 Betwinner 14 Jul 12:00 3.1 + 0.15 13 Jul 20:00 3.7 -0.6 13 Jul 08:00 3.4 + 0.3 12 Jul 20:01 3 + 0.4 11 Jul 20:00 3.4 -0.4	3.3 Betwinner 14 Jul 12:00 3.4 -0.1 13 Jul 20:00 3.5 -0.1 13 Jul 08:00 3.4 + 0.1 11 Jul 20:00 3.5 -0.1	1.95 Betwinner 14 Jul 12:00 2 -0.05 13 Jul 20:00 1.8 + 0.2 13 Jul 08:00 1.85 -0.05 12 Jul 20:01 2.05 -0.2 11 Jul 20:00 1.85 + 0.2	88%
Average		3.15	3.64	1.99	91%
Highest		3.3	3.8	2.04	94%

Players to watch

Europa League 2026/2027

Liam Boyce

50% of Derry City goals

6.74

Ioannis Pittas

67% of CSKA Sofia goals

7.06

1

Matches

1

1

Goals

2

0

Penalty goals

0

1

Goals per 90 min

2

90

Min per goal

45

Goal Getters

James Olayinka 1 goals

Bruno Jordao 1 goals

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Head to Head History

Recent H2H Games - 1

Derry City

0 wins 0%

0 draws 0%

1 win 100%

CSKA Sofia

In the last 1 encounter(s), Derry City won 0 time(s), CSKA Sofia have 1 win(s), and 0 ended in a draw.

Over 1.5

100% 1/1

Over 2.5

100% 1/1

Over 3.5

100% 1/1

BTTS

100% 1/1

Clean Sheets

0% Derry City

Clean Sheets

0% CSKA Sofia

09 Jul 2026 14:00

Europa League

CSKA Sofia

3

Derry City

2

Teams Season Stats (Current League)

Matches Attack Defence

Derry City

CSKA Sofia

1

Played

1

1

Lost Away

0

0

Won Home

1

2

Goals

3

37

Ball possession

63

2

Shots off target

7

3

Shots on target

6

5

Corner kicks

6

1

Offsides

1

3

Goals Conceded

2

1

Yellow cards

0

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