USA vs Mexico prediction, match preview, betting tips and odds on July 7, 2025
Game Prediction
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In the CONCACAF Gold Cup final on July 7, 2025, the national teams of the USA and Mexico will face off. Both sides will look to prove they are once again stronger than their neighbor.
Our Prediction for USA vs Mexico
The favorites entered the tournament with very different mindsets. The United States lost both matches of the final round of the Nations League at home in March, and then suffered further defeats in June friendlies. Their neighbors, meanwhile, won the regional tournament in spring. Yes, they also lost a friendly to Switzerland, 2-4. Yet, their subsequent victory over Turkey showed this was not a major setback.
At the Gold Cup, Mauricio Pochettino’s side started off strong with a psychologically important rout, scoring five unanswered goals against Trinidad and Tobago. They then managed to collect maximum points against both Saudi Arabia and Haiti. Costa Rica caused problems in the quarterfinals, but was eventually eliminated in a penalty shootout. Luna then scored a brace in the first quarter of an hour against Guatemala, who failed to respond—the match ended 2-1.
Javier Aguirre and his team demonstrated a masterclass in tournament play. The favorites opened with two victories over the Dominican Republic and Suriname, then settled for a scoreless draw with Costa Rica. In the playoffs, they secured two more clean-sheet wins, first against Saudi Arabia (2-0), then Honduras (1-0).
USA vs Mexico: Key Stats and Trends
- USA has won four of their last five matches
- USA scores an average of 1.7 goals and concedes 1.3 goals per match
- 50% of USA's matches end with both teams scoring and an average of 3.0 total goals per match
- Mexico has won five of their last six matches, conceding only once during that stretch
- Mexico scores an average of 1.9 goals and concedes 0.7 goals per match
- 30% of Mexico’s matches end with both teams scoring and an average of 2.6 total goals per match.
USA vs Mexico: Probable Starting Lineups
USA (possible lineup): Friese – Arfsten, Ream, Richards, Freeman – De la Torre, Adams, Luna, Tillman, Berhalter – Agyemang
Mexico (possible lineup): Malagón – Chavez, Vásquez, Montes, Araujo – Ruiz, Álvarez, Mora – Vega, Jiménez, Alvarado
Previous Matches: USA vs Mexico
The Americans went seven matches unbeaten in this fixture. However, last autumn they suffered a 0-2 defeat.
Free Prediction for USA vs Mexico
Both teams deserve their place in the final, but the visitors’ case appears stronger. Take Mexico to win with a "0" handicap (odds – 1.7).
Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team’s progress in the CONCACAF Gold Cup standings.
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