Toulouse vs Lens prediction and betting tips on May 10, 2025
Game Prediction
At the Stadium Municipal, Lens and Toulouse face off this Saturday, May 10, 2023, for the 33rd day of Ligue 1. Toulouse, 12th in the standings, have nothing left to play for in the last 2 games of the year, while Lens are in 8th place, 7 points off the top 6.
Toulouse vs Lens key stats and trends
- Lens has won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
- Over this period, Lens has scored 8 goals and Toulouse 2.
- Toulouse have won just 1 of their last 5 matches, including 4 defeats and 1 draw.
- Toulouse has the same statistics at home
- Toulouse scores and concedes 1.2 on average
- Lens has won 5 and lost 5 of its last 10 games
- Minimum 2 goals scored in Lens' last 4 games
- Lens scores and concedes 1.3 per game
Toulouse vs Lens recent form
With a 2-1 victory over Rennes on Matchday 31 of Ligue 1, Toulouse ended a dismal run of 7 games without a win. A string of poor results has buried the club's last hopes of a European campaign. Toulouse currently lie 2nd in the table with 38 points from 32 games.
Lens can still dream of 7th place, which will open the door to the Ligue Conférence play-offs if PSG do the double by adding the French Cup to their Ligue 1 trophy. Such a mission would seem a miracle, given Lens' inconsistent form over the last 10 games (5 wins and 5 defeats). The Sang et Or are in 8th place with 48 points, 7 behind 7th-placed Lyon.
Form
Injury and team news
There's a long list of absentees in Toulouse's ranks. Noah Edjouma(2 goals) and Charlie Creswell are suspended for red cards. To these two must be added the injured Gabriel,Niklas, Zakaria Aboukhal(7 goals and 2 assists in 25 games), Yann and Rasmus.
Lens has seen a number of injuries this season. Labeau, Lascary, Petric, Chavez and Aguilar are not yet fit to play. Socota makes his return after missing the last one through suspension.
Predicted line-ups
- Toulouse probable line-up: Restes - Sidibé, McKenzie, Canvot - Dönnum, Casseres, Sierro, Kamanzi - King, Magri, Gboho.
- Lens probable line-up: Ryan - Gradit, Bah, Medina - Pouilly, Mendy, El Aynaoui, Machado - Thomasson, Sotoca - Koyalipou.
Toulouse vs Lens pre-game odds and win probablity
At home, Toulouse has a better chance: 42% with a rating of 2.35. The probability of a Lens win is 31% at 3.32. A draw is priced at 3.58 and 28% likely.
Correct score prediction: Toulouse 1-1 Lens
Lens travels to Toulouse, who won last week against Rennes. A win could boost TFC's confidence and give them a foothold against an erratic Lens.
Players to watch: King and Thomasson
In the absence of Kakaria King Joshua is Toulouse's most decisive player. The Norwegian has scored 5 goals and provided 2 assists this season.
Adrien Thomasson is experience. The 31-year-old midfielder gets his team-mates to score. He has handed out 6 assists and scored 2 goals in 34 Ligue 1 games.
Expert tip: draw and under 2.5
Odds are 48% and 2,06. Only 1 of the last 10 encounters offered 3 goals. The others finished with -2.5 goals.
Learn more about your teams in the French Ligue 1 table and place a bet on the upcoming match.