Togo vs Mauritania Prediction and Betting Tips on March 22, 2025
Game Prediction
Togo will host Mauritania at the Stade de Kégué in Lomé on Saturday March 22, 2025, in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualification (CAF) at 16:00 UTC. The Sparrowhawks are desperate to ignite their faltering campaign after a winless start, while the Lions of Chinguetti aim to break their scoring drought and climb off the bottom of Group B.
Togo vs Mauritania Key Stats & Trends
- Togo are winless in their 4 World Cup qualifier games so far (D3 L1).
- The Sparrowhawks average 0.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game in qualifiers.
- Togo have won only 1 of their last 5 home games across all competitions.
- Mauritania have failed to score in all 4 of their World Cup qualifier matches.
- The Mourabitounes average 0 goals scored and 1 conceded per game in qualifiers.
- Mauritania lost 3 of their last 5 away games, with 2 draws.
Togo vs Mauritania Recent Form
Togo are under mounting pressure as they sit fourth in Group B with only 3 points from 4 games. The Sparrowhawks started their 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign with three consecutive draws before a 1-0 loss to DR Congo in their most recent qualifier under Paulo Duarte. So far, the Portuguese coach ha left his position and been replaced by local coach Dare Nibombe. The latter has already failed to qualify Togo for 2025 AFCON in Morocco and will be eager to do everything to get the Spparowhawks back to the World Cup in 2026, which will mark 20 years since Togo’s first-ever and only World Cup qualification in Germany during a time he was still one of the leaders in the heart of the defence.
Mauritania, meanwhile, are in dire straits, languishing at the bottom of Group B with just 1 point from 4 matches. Their lone point came from a 0-0 draw against South Sudan, but the Mourabitounes. have been toothless in attack, failing to score a single goal in the qualifiers. Despite reaching the knockout stages of the 2023 Africa Cup of Nations, their form has plummeted, leading to Amir Abdou’s sacking in November 2024. His replacement Aritz Lopez Garaï has a lot to do with the team starting from this crucial game which will be his first on the bench.
Form
- Togo: D-L-L-L-W
- Mauritania: L-L-L-D-W
Injury & Team News
Togo have no injury concerns going into this game. Only Dikeni Salifou who declined his call will be missing this game. All the key players like captain Djene Dakonam, veteran midfielder Alaixys Romao and star forward Kevin Denkey who is now donning FC Cincinnati colors in the MLS are all fit and available to make their fans happy at home.
Mauritania have no major injury concerns reported, but their lack of firepower remains a worry. Forward Aboubakar Kamara will be their main hope upfront, tasked with ending their scoring drought.
Predicted Line-ups
- Togo possible line-up: Barcola, Djene, Boateng, Homawoo, Atte, Romao, Dermane, Agbagno, Klidjè, Annor, Denkey
- Mauritania possible line-up: Niasse, Keita, Abeid, Yali, Thiam, Tanjy, Mahmoud, Ba, Kamara, Koita
Togo vs Mauritania Pre-game Odds & Win Probability
Despite their struggles, Togo are favored by bookmakers with a 56% chance of victory, offering odds of around 1.71. A draw is priced at 3.36 (28% probability), while Mauritania’s chances of an upset are pegged at 5.9 (16% probability).
Correct Score Prediction: Togo 1-0 Mauritania
Given Mauritania’s goalless run and Togo’s modest scoring record, a low-scoring affair is likely. The Sparrowhawks should edge it with a single goal, capitalizing on their home support, while Mauritania’s attack may continue to falter.
Players to Watch: Kevin Denkey – Aboubakar Kamara
Kevin Denkey is Togo’s danger man, with his pace and finishing ability making him a constant threat. The striker has been prolific at club level with 4 goals and 1 assist in 8 appearances for FC Cincinnati in the USA. He will look to translate that form to the international stage, potentially deciding the game for the Sparrowhawks.
For Mauritania, Aboubakar Kamara carries the burden of breaking their scoring duck. The forward’s physicality and work rate could trouble Togo’s defense, but he’ll need support to find the net in this crucial qualifier.
Expert Tip: Togo to Win & Both Teams To Score ‘No’
Togo are poised to secure a narrow victory, driven by their need for points and home advantage. Mauritania’s persistent failure to score in qualifiers makes the ‘No’ option for Both Teams To Score a strong bet, available at 1.44, with a 65% probability. This combination offers a solid betting opportunity.
Continue reading Ratingbet and check out where your country sits in the 2026 CAF World Cup qualifiers.