St. Pauli vs Bayer prediction and betting tips on April 20, 2025

Game Prediction

In the 30th round of the German Bundesliga 1 on April 20, 2025, there will be a match between St. Pauli and Bayer. The reigning champions will try to beat the newcomer, who is hovering just above the relegation zone.
Our Prediction for St. Pauli vs Bayer
The team from Hamburg made a breakthrough last season. They unexpectedly won the country’s second division... And immediately after that success, the man behind it, Hürzeler, went to England after accepting Brighton’s offer. On the other hand, Xabi Alonso completely changed Bayer's history, bringing them their first-ever championship title. He also added the German Cup afterwards.
Xabi Alonso stayed in Leverkusen and in 2024 added the Super Cup to his tally. But overall, it was already clear: the team, having kept its stars, had passed its peak, which had brought the "golden double." They lost to Bayern not only in the Bundesliga but also in the Champions League round of 16 (0-5 over two matches). Yes, they beat their rival in the cup, but the title defense ended with a loss in the semifinals to Arminia, a team now drifting in the third division. There is little motivation left, knowing you’ll finish second in the Bundesliga. Perhaps that’s why they were limited to a 0-0 draw with Union in the last round. The newcomer, now under Blessin, is by and large achieving their main goal—not to return to the second division. However, since February they managed just one victory. But in the last rounds, they only lost to Bayern, and even that was close (2-3). In the previous round, they claimed an important win over Holstein.
The division newcomer scores 0.86 goals on average but concedes 1.21 in return. The champion manages to score more than they concede—2.17 goals scored to 1.17 conceded.
St. Pauli vs Bayer: Key Statistics and Trends
- St. Pauli has lost just one of its last five matches
- 31% of St. Pauli's matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 2.07
- Bayer have won three out of their last four Bundesliga matches
- 69% of Bayer's matches end with both teams scoring, with an average total goals per match of 3.34
St. Pauli vs Bayer: Probable Starting Line-ups
St. Pauli (probable line-up): Vasilj - van der Heyden, Wahl, Nemeth - Ritzka, Smith, Irvine, Treu - Saad, Eggestein, Weißhaupt
Bayer (probable line-up): Hradecky - Hincapié, Tapsoba, Tah, Mukiele - Grimaldo, Palacios, Xhaka, Frimpong - Wirtz, Tella
Previous Matches: St. Pauli vs Bayer
Both in 2010/2021, during the previous rise of the Hamburg club to Bundesliga 1, and now, the favorite from Leverkusen wins all the encounters by the smallest of margins – 2-1 or 1-0.
Free Prediction for St. Pauli vs Bayer
Even with low motivation, the visitors remain a class above. Our pick is for them to win (odds – 1.68).
Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team’s performance in the Bundesliga 1 Germany league table.
