Senegal vs Togo Prediction and Betting Tips on March 25, 2025
Game Prediction
Togo will make a trip to Dakar to face Senegal on March 25, 2025, in a crucial 2026 FIFA World Cup African qualifiers at the Stade Me Abdoulaye Wade, kicking off at 21:00 UTC. The Teranga Lions are looking to solidify their position in Group B after a frustrating draw against Sudan, while the Sparrowhawks aim to keep their slim qualification hopes alive following a thrilling 2-2 stalemate with Mauritania at home.
Senegal vs Togo Key Stats & Trends
- Senegal have won 2 of their 5 World Cup qualifying matches.
- The Teranga Lions average 1 goal scored and 0.4 goals conceded per game in the qualifiers.
- Senegal are unbeaten in their last 5 home qualifier matches, winning 4.
- Togo are winless in their last 5 World Cup qualifying games, drawing 4.
- The away side averages 0.8 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per game.
- Togo have won just 10% of their away qualifier matches in the past two years, averaging 0.9 points.
Senegal vs Togo Recent Form
Senegal are under pressure to maintain their push for direct qualification to the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Sitting third in Group B with 9 points from 5 games, the Teranga Lions are two points behind leaders Sudan. Their recent 0-0 draw against Sudan on March 22 exposed a lack of cutting edge in attack, a concern for coach Pape Thiaw following the departure of long-serving manager Aliou Cisse. With a golden generation of talent, Senegal cannot afford slip-ups at home if they are to secure a third consecutive World Cup appearance.
Togo, meanwhile, are fighting to climb out of the lower half of the group standings. With 4 points from 5 matches, the Sparrowhawks sit fourth, their hopes of a first World Cup since 2006 fading fast. However, their recent form sparkles concern amid fans, as they conceded a frustrating 2-2 draw
Form
- Senegal: W-W-W-D
- Togo: L-L-L-W-D
Injury & Team News
Senegal are delat woith two major blows going into this game. Coach Pape Thiaw and his staff are forced to build their team without Villarreal midfielder Pape Gueye who picked up an ankle injury against Sudan, while Hellas Verona star Cheikh Niass contracted a hamstring injury. Both of them have been given the green light to go back to their clubs and, are then ruled out of this clash.
On the other hand, Togo have no major injury concerns, with striker Kevin Denkey in fine form after his equalizer against Mauritania. The Cincinnati forward, who netted his 10th goal under the national team jersey, will lead the line alongside the dynamic Thibault Klidje, who opened the scoring in their last match.
Predicted Line-ups
- Senegal possible line-up: Mendy, Koulibaly, Niakhate, Ballo-Toure, Sarr, Gueye, Diarra, Camara, Mane, Dia, Diallo
- Togo possible line-up: Barcola, Djene, Homawoo, Boateng, Romao, Dermane, Atte, Agbagnon Klidje, Denkey
Senegal vs Togo Pre-game Odds & Win Probability
Senegal are strong favorites, with bookmakers offering odds of 1.31 for a home win, translating to a 73% chance of victory. A draw is priced at 4.8 (20% probability), while a Togo upset carries odds of 12.5 (8% probability).
Correct Score Prediction: Senegal 2-0 Togo
Given Senegal’s defensive solidity at home and Togo’s struggles to score on the road, a 2-0 victory for the hosts seems plausible. Senegal’s attack may not be prolific, but their quality should shine through against a Togo side lacking consistency, knowing they are coming off a frustrating draw to Sudan and will be carrying a lot of pressure at home in front of their fans.
Players to Watch: Mane – Denkey
Sadio Mane remains Senegal’s talisman. Despite a dip in form in recent qualifiers (2 goals in 4 games), the former Liverpool star’s pace and experience make him a constant threat. He’ll be eager to rediscover his scoring touch in front of the Dakar faithful.
For Togo, Kevin Denkey is the danger man. The 24-year-old’s recent goal against Mauritania highlights his growing importance to the Sparrowhawks. With 4 goals in his last 10 international appearances, he’ll aim to exploit any defensive lapses from Senegal.
Expert Tip: Senegal to Win & Both Teams To Score ‘No’
Senegal’s need for a win, combined with their impeccable home defensive record in qualifiers, points to a straightforward victory. Togo’s lack of firepower away from home suggests they’ll struggle to breach Senegal’s backline. Betting on Senegal to win with a clean sheet (BTTS ‘No’) at odds of 1.44 (65% probability) offers solid value.
Ratingbet is your go-to source for the best predictions, tips and everything related to the 2026 FIFA World Cup African qualifiers table.