Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction and Betting Tips - April 17, 2025
Game Prediction
The NBA will soon determine all the playoff participants, but some teams still need to resolve their fate in the play-in tournament. Here is our exclusive prediction for the Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks matchup.
Sacramento Kings
This season, the "Kings" managed to finish ninth in their conference, which gives them a chance to fight for a playoff spot. The team secured 40 wins in 82 games—a result that is not the most impressive, but sufficient for a top ten finish. In their last game, they defeated a depleted Phoenix side that was missing its main roster—109:98, with Sabonis and Valančiūnas both recording double-doubles in that matchup.
Sacramento needs to take two steps to reach the playoffs: first, beat Dallas at home, and then defeat Memphis on the road. The task is difficult, but achievable. There are some personnel losses, but none are critical.
Dallas Mavericks
This season has been turbulent for the Mavericks. The fans are still recovering from Dončić's departure, and the trade was a shock even for the player himself. The new Dallas roster is less flashy, Irving is injured, Davis is not fully fit, and Klay Thompson has also had injuries.
As a result, the team finished tenth in the West with 39 wins from 82 games. The Mavericks lost their last away game against Memphis with a score of 97:132—their fourth defeat in five meetings. We do not expect Dallas to make the playoffs this season.
Match Facts
- Sacramento has 20 wins and 21 losses at home.
- Dallas has just 17 wins in 42 away games.
- The odds for this matchup: Home Win – 1.52, Away Win – 2.59.
Head-to-Head
The teams have played each other three times this season; in every meeting, the Kings came out on top, including two away games. In one of those games, the winner was decided only in overtime.
Prediction
The hosts are slight favorites in this pairing, and we agree with that assessment. Sacramento has fewer issues ahead of this game, and the "Kings" are in better form. We can expect a tough and competitive match, but not a high-scoring one, as the focus will be on the result. A promising bet here would be on total points under 218.5.