Real Madrid vs Leganes Prediction and Betting Tips on March 29, 2025
Game Prediction
Leganes will make a trip to the Santiago Bernabeu to face Real Madrid on Saturday March 29, 2025, in La Liga at 20:00 UTC. The visitors are fighting to come out of the relegation zone, while the Madridistas aim at winning to put pressure on FC Barcelona.
Real Madrid vs Leganes Key Stats & Trends
- Real Madrid have won 3 of their last 5 games.
- Los Blancos average 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.
- Carlo Ancelotti’s side averages 1.8 points per game in their last 5 home matches.
- Leganes won only 1 of their last 5 games, with 3 losses and 1 draw.
- The away side averages 1.2 goal scored and 2 conceded per game.
- Los Pepineros lost 60% of their last 5 away games.
Real Madrid vs Leganes Recent Form
Real Madrid remain a dominant force in La Liga, sitting second with 60 points, same as Barcelona which leads the league table thanks to a better goal differentials. The Madridistas are still in contention for a first-ever treble thi season and will fight until the very end of the season.
Leganes, meanwhile, have shown resilience in their return to La Liga. Sitting around 18th with only 27 points out of 28 games, Borja Jiménez and his men have been disappointing so far this season, but still have a chance to maintain their premiership status, should they win games.
Form
- Real Madrid: L-W-W-L-W
- Leganes: D-L-W-L-L
Injury & Team News
With the recent comeback of David Alaba, Real Madrid have a more fournished squad, even though Dani Carvajal is out until the end of the season with an ACL injury.The likes of Kylian Mbappe, Tchouameni, Camavinga, Vinicius and Rodrygo are all expected to be back safely from national duties in order to led the team to victory.
Leganes have a relatively healthy squad, with Enric Franquesa being their primary injury concern after missing earlier matches in 2025. Key players like Miguel de la Fuente and Munir El Haddadi will be crucial as they look to exploit any defensive lapses from a potentially rotated Real Madrid side.
Predicted Line-ups
- Real Madrid possible line-up: Courtois; Vazquez, Tchouameni, Alaba, Mendy; Valverde, Modric, Bellingham; Guler, Mbappe, Vinicius
- Leganes possible line-up: Dmitrovic; Altimira, Rosier, Gonzalez, Nastasic, Cruz; Raba, Tapia, Neyou, Rodriguez; De la Fuente
Real Madrid vs Leganes Pre-game Odds & Win Probability
Real Madrid are heavy favorites, with bookmakers estimating their win probability at 83%. Odds for a home win are around 1.19, reflecting their dominance at the Bernabeu and historical edge over Leganes. A draw is priced at 8.45, while an unlikely Leganes victory sits at 18, given their struggles away from home against top sides.
Correct Score Prediction: Real Madrid 3-0 Leganes
Considering Real Madrid’s attacking prowess and Leganes’ defensive resilience but limited scoring threat on the road, a 3-0 scoreline seems plausible. Los Blancos are likely to control possession, while Leganes may struggle to breach a solid home defense.
Players to Watch: Mbappe – De la Fuente
Kylian Mbappe continues to be Real Madrid’s talisman, with his pace and finishing ability terrorizing defenses. With 20 goals so far, he is the second top scorer in the league behind FC Barcelona's goal-getter Robert Lewandowski (22).
For Leganes, Miguel de la Fuente is the man to watch. Despite having only 1 goal and 3 assists this season, he remains a major asset for Leganés.
Expert Tip: Real Madrid to Win & Over 2.5 Goals
Knowing Real Madrid becomes mostly ruthless when it comes to the last part of the season, we suggest a high-scoring game, with the ‘Over 2.5 goals’ available at 1.41.
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