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Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, April 17, 2026

Expecting at least three goals
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 15 Apr 2026, 11:54
Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets match prediction on Apr 17, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
2.2 4.03 2.99
44% 24% 32%
32 TIPS
Tournament A-League Men Australia
Date & kick-off time 17 apr 2026, 05:35

In the 25th round of the Australian A-League, a match between Melbourne Victory and Newcastle Jets will take place on April 17, 2026. The league leader visits one of their main chasers.

Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets: Team News and Expert Analysis

The Melbourne club finished only fifth in the regular season last year. However, they reached the playoff final, where they lost to City in the derby. Now, they are aiming for second place to get a later start in the knockout rounds. That made the loss to Wellington even more disappointing—at least they managed a draw with Auckland.

Newcastle's team had a poor previous campaign, collecting just 30 points and finishing ninth. But this season, they've surged to the top by mid-spring, although they've started dropping points frequently in recent rounds. They even lost to Macarthur, and drew with Adelaide.

Vilupillai and his teammates are scoring an average of 1.67 goals per game and conceding a third less, at 1.29. The league leader averages 2.04 goals scored but also concedes quite a bit—an average of 1.54 per match.

Previous Matches: Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets

The last four meetings have alternated between draws and Jets victories.

The hosts are considered favorites, but the match promises to be entertaining—we recommend betting on "total over 3.0 goals" (odds – 1.60).

Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets: Key Statistics and Trends

  • Melbourne Victory have won three of their last seven matches
  • 54% of Melbourne Victory's matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 2.96
  • Newcastle Jets have won two of their last six games
  • 75% of Newcastle Jets' matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 3.58

Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets: Probable Starting Lineups

Melbourne Victory use a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Warszawski - Lino, Miranda, Esposito, Rawlins - Valadon, Jeanro - Mata, Vilupillai, Rodrigus - Nduka. Hemill is definitely out, while Mata and Esposito are doubtful.

Newcastle Jets also play a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Delianov - Aquilina, Natta, Shaughnessy, Bertolissio - Burgess, Grozos - Dobson, Mizunuma, Bayliss - Rose. Bracco, Fryer, and Badolato are not in the squad.

Place your bets on the upcoming match and follow your team's position in the Australian A-League standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Total over 3,0
1.6
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Total over 3,0
1.6