Marseille vs Le Havre prediction and betting tips on January 5, 2025
Game Prediction
On January 5, 2025, Marseille and Le Havre will clash in the 16th round of Ligue 1. The hosts are fighting for second place in the standings and are aiming for a win, while the visitors desperately need points to climb out of the relegation zone.
Our prediction for the Marseille vs Le Havre match
The "Provençals" had a disastrous last season. Amid frequent coaching changes and tensions between fans, management, and players, the club ended in 8th place, missing out on European competition. The "Sky and Navy" returned to France's top division in 2023 after a long absence since 2009. With 32 points, they finished in 15th place, securing their Ligue 1 spot.
During the summer, Didier Digard was appointed as Le Havre’s coach, but he has struggled to meet expectations. Before the winter break, his team managed only four wins and suffered 11 defeats, including losses in their last three matches. They even exited the cup after losing to modest Briochin, leaving them in second-to-last place.
Marseille brought in Roberto De Zerbi as head coach during the offseason and revamped their squad, parting ways with players like Aubameyang, Sarr, Pau López, and Gigot. Replacements included Greenwood, Højbjerg, Rulli, Maupay, and Rabiot, who joined in September. Despite challenges, Marseille gathered 10 points in their last four league matches, tying Monaco in the battle for second place. They capped 2024 with a commanding 4-0 victory over Saint-Étienne in the cup.
De Zerbi's side averages over 2.1 goals per match, although their defense allows about 1.2 per game. Meanwhile, Le Havre’s stats are characteristic of a relegation battler: they score just 0.73 goals per match while conceding nearly two.
Marseille vs Le Havre: Key statistics and trends
- Marseille has won four of their last five matches.
- 67% of Marseille’s games end with both teams scoring, averaging 3.33 total goals per game.
- Le Havre has lost their last four matches.
- Only 27% of Le Havre’s matches see both teams scoring, with an average of 2.67 total goals per game.
Possible starting lineups
Marseille (possible lineup): Rulli - Balerdi, Murillo, Kondogbia - Merlin, Rabiot, Greenwood, Rongier, Højbjerg, Luis Henrique - Maupay
Le Havre (possible lineup): Demas - Lloris, Kengkou, Pembélé - Operi, Tharghalline, Ndiaye, Zouaoui, Touré, Nego - N’Goura
Previous matches: Marseille vs Le Havre
Le Havre last defeated Marseille in 2001, and that was in a cup match. Since then, Marseille has claimed eight wins in regulation time and advanced in the cup thanks to extra-time goals.
Free prediction for Marseille vs Le Havre
The hosts are significantly stronger and are expected to demonstrate their superiority in this matchup. Our prediction is a win for Marseille with a handicap of "-1.5 goals" (odds – 1.98).
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