Lorient vs Caen prediction and betting tips on April 26, 2025
Game Prediction
It's called the clash of extremes. Leaders Lorient host Ligue 2's bottom club in the 32nd round of matches. With 3 matchdays remaining, Lorient must win to maintain their 1-point lead over second-placed Paris FC. Caen are officially relegated.
Lorient vs Caen key stats and trends
- Lorient has won 70% of the last 10 meetings.
- Last 4 meetings ended 2-1
- Lorient won 7 of last 10 including 1 draw
- Lorient won 80% of last 10 home games
- Caen lost 6 of last 10 games including 3 draws and 1 win
- Caen lost 20 of their 31 Ligue 2 games
- Caen conceded 1.6 goals and scored 0.9
Lorient vs Caen recent form.
Having been top of the table for months, Lorient is still in the best position to try and climb back into the top flight, with a 4-point lead over 3rd-placed FC Metz. However, the title is still up for grabs, with the Merlus now just one point ahead of runners-up Paris FC. The last 3 games are without rest for the club from the capital, who must give it their all if they are to be champions.
Caen are already relegated even before the last 3 games. Malherbe fell to Martigues last week. Kylian Mbappe's club have lost 20 times in 31 games this season.
Form
Injury and team news
The leaders will have to make do without young Adjei, who is still in the infirmary, along with the important Katseris (4 goals) and striker Ndiaye. Young Fadiga, who came off injured against Guingamp, is also likely to throw in the towel for this match. Finally, young hopeful Pagis (3 goals) is suspended for an accumulation of yellow cards.
Caen's squad will be missing a number of key defensive players, notably Ntim and Thomas, as well as left-back Lecoeuche.
Predicted line-ups
- Lorient possible line-up: Mvogo - Silva, Laporte, Talbi, Yongwa - Mvuka (ou Katseris), Avom Ebong, Abergel, Pagis - Kroupi, Bamba.
- Caen possible line-up: Mandréa - Sy, Debohi, Traoré, Gaudin - Rajot, M'Vila - Kyeremeh, Benrahou, Grandsir - Mendy.
Lorient vs Caen pre-game odds and win probablity
All the conditions seem ripe for a Lorient victory: 75% and 1.26. The last is a very slim chance: 9% and 11. A draw is expected at 16% and 5.95.
Correct score prediction: Lorient 3-0 Caen
Les Merlus have scored at least 3 goals in their last 2 games. Caen could pay the price.
Players to watch: Kroupi and Mendy
The Ligue 2 leaders owe their attacking strength to Junior Kroupi. The 18-year-old French talent has scored 19 goals and provided 2 assists in 28 Ligue 2 games. Prior to last week's 0-0 draw with Annecy, he had scored 3 doubles against Grenoble, Pau and Guingamp.
If Caen are struggling, Mendy Alexandre is often a bright spot. The Guinea-Bissau native has scored 8 of Caen's 29 Ligue 2 goals this season.
Expert tip: Lorient to win and Over 2.5 goals
This fixture is often spectacular. It could be so again, perhaps in a one-sided affair for Lorient. The total goals Over 2.5 bet is estimated at 58% and 1.57.
Learn more about your teams in the Ligue 2 table and place a bet on the upcoming fixture.